Dried Pineapple Prices Hold Steady in Thailand, Ease in Vietnam

Dried pineapple prices are broadly stable for Thai origins, while Vietnamese quotations have slipped marginally, reflecting comfortable raw fruit supply and steady export demand. The near‑term outlook is for a sideways market with a mild downward bias on Vietnam FOB. Export-focused processors in Thailand and Vietnam are benefiting from firm underlying demand for processed tropical fruit, but neither market is tight enough to force prices higher. Weather is seasonally wet but not yet disruptive to supply chains. Buyers have room to negotiate on Vietnamese offers, while Thai sellers show little urgency to discount further given stable costs and a balanced order book.

Prices

Current EUR quotations show a mixed but overall calm picture. Thai-origin dried pineapple delivered FCA Dordrecht is unchanged, while Vietnam-origin FOB Hanoi has edged down compared with mid‑September.

The mild easing in Vietnam follows an earlier gradual increase in pineapple output this year, which supports processing volumes and keeps suppliers competitive. Thai quotations in the Netherlands remain anchored as logistics and demand conditions are steady.

Supply & Demand

Vietnam’s fruit sector, including pineapple, continues to expand exports, especially to China and other Asian markets, sustaining strong off‑take for processed fruit products such as dried snacks. International buyers have recently shown keen interest in Vietnamese dried fruit at sourcing events, confirming solid medium‑term demand.

In Thailand, dried pineapple is produced within a mature pineapple-processing industry serving global snack and bakery channels. Broader Thai export growth is positive but concentrated in electronics, meaning dried fruit remains a niche yet stable segment rather than a main driver of the trade balance. For now, raw pineapple supply is sufficient in both origins, and there is no acute shortage reported for dried grades.

Weather & Crop Conditions (TH, VN)

Vietnam is experiencing slightly higher‑than‑normal temperatures this month, with rainfall in many regions near or modestly below seasonal averages. This pattern supports ongoing fruit harvest and transport with limited weather‑related disruption, although localized heavy showers can still affect field operations.

In Thailand, the national meteorological service reports typical late‑rainy‑season conditions with widespread showers, especially in central and northern zones. While El Niño remains a background risk factor for agriculture, recent bulletins emphasize below‑average rainfall mainly impacting water‑intensive field crops rather than perennial fruit in the short run. For dried pineapple, current weather does not yet point to imminent raw material shortages.

Fundamentals & Market Drivers

• Raw fruit availability: Vietnam’s pineapple production has posted solid year‑on‑year growth, easing pressure on processors’ input costs and enabling slightly lower FOB dried prices.
• Export momentum: Both countries benefit from resilient demand for processed fruit in Asia and Europe, with Vietnam leveraging closer links to China and Thailand serving diversified global snack markets.
• Macroeconomic backdrop: Thai exporters face mixed signals from global demand, but the broader export recovery offers some support to processing industries, including fruit.
• Logistics: Regional shipping and land‑border flows are functioning normally, with no pineapple‑specific bottlenecks reported in the last few days.

Trading Outlook & 3‑Day View

Trading recommendations (next 1–2 weeks)

• Buyers (EU snack & cereal manufacturers): Consider covering near‑term needs in Vietnamese FOB at current 6.70 EUR levels, as comfortable supply allows for limited negotiation but no clear signal for a sharp further drop.
• Buyers of Thai origin in Europe: With FCA Dordrecht prices for both cut sizes stable at 3.97 EUR and 3.87 EUR, selectively extend coverage, especially for preferred grades, but avoid over‑committing ahead of year‑end demand assessments.
• Origin sellers (TH, VN): Maintain offer discipline; use strong processed‑fruit demand and overall export stability to resist aggressive price discounting, particularly on higher‑spec lots.

Short 3‑day price indication (directional)

• Vietnam – Hanoi, FOB dried pineapple: Sideways to slightly softer; trade likely to occur close to 6.70 EUR with small discounts possible on volume deals.
• Thailand origin – FCA Dordrecht dried pineapple: Sideways; prices expected to remain around 3.97 EUR (5–7 mm) and 3.87 EUR (8–10 mm) with no immediate catalyst for movement.