Precios estables del anís en medio de clima caluroso y húmedo en India, Siria y Vietnam

Los precios del anís se mantienen en general estables en India, Siria y Vietnam, con solo movimientos marginales semana a semana y sin que se observe un fuerte shock de oferta a corto plazo en los orígenes clave. El clima en Nueva Delhi y Hanói es estacionalmente caluroso y a menudo húmedo, pero los pronósticos actuales apuntan a condiciones típicas de premonzón y de inicio de la temporada de lluvias, más que a un estrés agudo de los cultivos en los próximos días. Actualmente, el mercado está impulsado más por una demanda de exportación y doméstica constante que por el clima o por disrupciones logísticas. En la región de Delhi, en India, los pronosticadores indican cielos parcialmente nublados con chubascos intermitentes y tormentas eléctricas alrededor del 20–22 de junio, lo que ayuda a limitar el calor extremo, mientras las temperaturas máximas siguen rondando los altos 30 °C. En el norte de Vietnam, alrededor de Hanói, los pronósticos actualizados muestran condiciones muy cálidas y húmedas con lluvias dispersas y tormentas eléctricas típicas de finales de junio. Estos patrones apuntan a una perspectiva neutral a corto plazo, con precios que probablemente se mantengan en rango durante los próximos tres días.

Prices

All prices converted to EUR at an indicative rate of 1 USD ≈ 0.93 EUR where needed. Values are indicative, FOB/FCA as stated.

External reference prices in other regions, like the US, also indicate relatively low and stable anise levels, with June 2026 values around the equivalent of roughly €2.85–€3.00/kg, reinforcing a globally soft but steady tone.

Supply & Demand

From a fundamental perspective, there are no fresh reports during the last three days of major crop losses or export disruptions in India, Syria or Vietnam. Recent public data and trade commentary instead suggest normal seasonal trade flows, with buyers focusing on routine replenishment rather than aggressive pre‑buying.

In India, the broader spice export sector is seeing ongoing interest from smaller processors and exporters, but recent discussions emphasize operational and financing questions rather than raw-material scarcity. For Syria, up-to-date, detailed export figures for anise are scarce in the last three days, but earlier 2026 publications portray a functioning, if structurally constrained, spices trade with continued dependence on regional and European buyers. Overall, this favors a balanced market with modest spot demand and stable offers.

Weather & Crop Conditions (IN, SY, VN)

India (IN – New Delhi region)

Weather services for Delhi NCR indicate changeable conditions with intermittent rain, thunderstorms and gusty winds up to June 21, followed by partly cloudy skies and continued high but not extreme temperatures around June 22–24. Maximums are broadly in the 37–39°C range, with some private forecasts pointing to brief spikes toward low 40s later in the month.

These conditions are broadly consistent with a hot pre-monsoon to early-monsoon regime in North India, where scattered showers can relieve heat stress without significantly disrupting field operations. For anise, they suggest no immediate weather shock for the crop or logistics, though any persistent delay of widespread monsoon rains later in the season could become a medium-term yield risk.

Vietnam (VN – Hanoi and Northern Regions)

Updated multi-day forecasts for Hanoi show very warm, humid conditions with daytime highs in the mid-30s °C, high humidity and a mix of clouds, sun and scattered showers or thunderstorms around June 22–24. Rainfall totals vary but remain in line with typical late-June conditions, where heavy showers can occur but are usually short-lived.

These patterns imply adequate moisture for star anise trees with occasional periods of heat stress, but no evidence of severe flooding or prolonged drought in the immediate term. Short, intense downpours could temporarily slow rural transport, yet with port and road infrastructure functioning normally, the near-term export pipeline from Vietnam appears intact.

Syria (SY)

Recent three-day weather and agricultural news specifically for Syrian anise regions remains limited. However, no new reports point to acute weather-related damage or logistical disruption impacting spice exports. In the absence of contrary evidence, and given stable FCA prices in Europe, the Syrian anise seed market appears fundamentally steady, though structurally influenced by broader regional geopolitical and freight cost risks.

Key Drivers

• Flat spot prices: India, Syria and Vietnam all show unchanged or marginally changed anise prices over the past week, suggesting balanced nearby supply and demand.
• Seasonally hot, partly stormy weather: Delhi NCR faces hot conditions with intermittent rain and thunderstorm activity, limiting extreme heat but not disrupting anise flows.
• Humid, rainy Hanoi pattern: Northern Vietnam experiences typical late-June heat and showers, supportive for crops but with some short-lived logistical friction risk during heavier storms.
• Global context: Reference prices and limited fresh news from major consuming markets indicate no demand shock; the international anise complex trades in a narrow range.

3-Day Price & Trading Outlook (IN, SY, VN)

Directional view for June 22–24, 2026 (EUR-based):

• India (IN, FOB New Delhi – organic star anise): Prices are likely to remain in a tight band around €6.10–€6.20/kg. Weather is hot but manageable, with no fresh supply shock expected in the next three days.
• Vietnam (VN, FOB Hanoi – star anise, conventional and organic): Expect a stable to slightly firm tone, with conventional offers hovering near €7.70–€7.80/kg and organic around €7.00/kg. Any intraday gains are more likely driven by freight or FX moves than by crop news.
• Syria (SY, FCA EU hub – anise seeds): Prices around €3.40–€3.45/kg are expected to hold, with limited liquidity but no evident catalyst for a sharp move before mid‑week.

Trading Recommendations

• Short-term buyers (IN, VN): Use the current sideways market to cover immediate and early Q3 needs. With weather supportive and no strong bullish trigger, price risk over the next few days appears skewed sideways.
• Medium-term importers (EU, MENA): Consider staggered purchases rather than full coverage. Stable offers from Syria and Vietnam provide flexibility while you monitor broader macro and freight developments.
• Producers and exporters (IN, VN, SY): Maintain offer discipline but avoid aggressive price hikes in the absence of new fundamental news; focus instead on reliability and logistics performance to secure contracts.