Vietnam Dried Jackfruit Prices Hold Firm as Export Demand Stays Buoyant
Vietnam dried jackfruit FOB Hanoi prices stable around EUR 6.25/kg amid steady China-led demand. Short-term outlook neutral to mildly firm.
Prices
The latest offer for conventional dried jackfruit slices, origin Vietnam, FOB Hanoi, is steady at about EUR 6.25/kg, unchanged over the past week and roughly flat over the last month. Internal data show the last meaningful move was a small uptick from late June, after which prices have plateaued.
Using recent indicative EUR/VND levels around 30,000–30,500 VND per EUR as a reference, the current price implies a local value slightly above 190,000 VND/kg, broadly in line with previous weeks and suggesting no FX-driven pressure on export quotes.
Supply & Demand
Vietnam’s fruit and vegetable exports grew strongly in the first half of 2026, with sector revenues up around 18% year-on-year to roughly USD 3.6–3.7 billion, underpinned by surging demand from China. Tropical fruits such as durian, coconut and jackfruit remain among the top-performing categories, especially in China and other Asian markets.
New and stricter Chinese import requirements have not slowed Vietnam’s fruit exports meaningfully; instead, exporters have adjusted with better quality and traceability, and authorities continue to prioritize expansion of official fruit export protocols, including for jackfruit. This supports a solid baseline of demand for both fresh and processed jackfruit, giving dried processors confidence to hold offers steady.
Domestically, Vietnam is simultaneously increasing fruit imports, which rose nearly 30% year-on-year in the first half, reflecting strong local consumption and diversified sourcing. For jackfruit, this means raw material competition from the fresh market but also a broad outlet structure, contributing to a balanced supply-demand picture rather than a glut.
Fundamentals & Weather
Jackfruit harvest areas in northern and north-central Vietnam are currently in the core wet season, with typical monsoon conditions but no major, acute weather disruptions reported in the last few days. Recent coverage focuses more on structural climate risks and past flood events than on any immediate 2026 jackfruit crop damage, suggesting stable short-term fruit availability.
On the macro side, Vietnam’s agro-forestry-fishery exports rose about 6% in the first half of 2026, and the government is targeting faster growth into Q3, which implies continued support for export logistics and trade promotion for fruits including jackfruit. The export mix is gradually shifting toward higher-value processed items, with processed fruit and vegetable products now accounting for more than a third of export value, a positive signal for dried jackfruit demand.
FX remains a secondary but supportive factor. The dong has weakened slightly versus major currencies during 2026, while indicative EUR/VND ranges around 29,500–30,500 provide exporters with some margin cushion without forcing immediate price cuts in EUR terms.
Short-Term Outlook & Trading Views
Given stable offers around EUR 6.25/kg FOB Hanoi, firm regional demand and no pressing weather or FX shock, the near-term price bias is neutral to slightly firm. Any upside in the coming week is likely to be incremental rather than abrupt, driven mainly by additional Chinese buying or tighter raw jackfruit availability if local fresh consumption spikes.
- Buyers: Consider covering near-term needs at current levels; scope for meaningful discounts appears limited in the next 1–2 weeks. Prioritize suppliers with proven compliance with Chinese and other Asian market protocols.
- Sellers/Processors: Maintaining offers around EUR 6.25/kg looks justified; only aggressive competition or sudden FX strength would argue for trimming prices.
- Traders: Market conditions favour range trading; watch Chinese customs and regulatory headlines closely for any shifts that could quickly alter demand for Vietnamese jackfruit products.
3-Day Regional Price Indication (EUR)
Based on current fundamentals, no significant price moves are expected in the coming three days: