Anise & Star Anise Prices Hold Firm as Weather Shifts in India and Vietnam

Anise and star anise prices are broadly stable this week, with only marginal easing in organic origins from India and Vietnam. Weather disruptions in North India have not yet translated into supply stress, while Vietnamese flows remain steady and Syrian seed offers are flat.

Cool, rain‑affected conditions in New Delhi earlier this week have given way to a gradual warming trend, but no immediate weather threat is visible for Indian star anise orchards. Vietnam’s core star anise province of Lang Son continues under typical spring conditions without new crop damage reports. Freight and macro‑commodity noise from other agri markets has so far had limited impact on quoted anise offers.

📈 Prices & Recent Moves

All prices approximate, converted to EUR at ~1.00 USD/EUR equivalent for comparability.

Product	Origin	Location / Term	Latest Price (EUR/kg)	WoW Change
Anise seeds (conventional)	Syria	Dordrecht, NL – FCA	3.40	Stable vs last week
Star anise (conventional)	Vietnam	Hanoi – FOB	7.70	Stable vs last week
Star anise (organic)	Vietnam	Hanoi – FOB	7.04	−0.04 vs last week
Star anise (organic)	India	New Delhi – FOB	6.13	−0.03 vs last week

• Conventional Vietnam star anise remains range‑bound; no fresh demand or supply shock is visible in recent trade news.
• Organic material in both India and Vietnam is edging slightly lower, suggesting comfortable availability and selective buying.
• Syrian anise seed offers in Europe are unchanged for a third consecutive weekly quote, despite ongoing dryness concerns in parts of Syria’s farming belt.

🌍 Supply & Demand Snapshot (IN, SY, VN)

India (IN)

• North India, including Delhi, saw unusually cool, rainy conditions around 7–9 April due to western disturbances, with maximum temperatures near 28°C and episodes of thunderstorms and local hail.
• The rain has eased short‑term heat stress and supported soil moisture, which is mildly supportive for spice trees but has not triggered yield revision headlines for star anise.
• Broader Indian agri export sentiment remains generally constructive as traders respond to firm demand in other commodities (rice, sugar), but there is no sign of sudden policy tightening or logistics disruption specifically for spices this week.

Vietnam (VN)

• Lang Son and other northern highland star anise areas are in their typical March–April secondary flowering/harvest window, with provincial materials highlighting stable production and quality rather than weather‑related stress.
• No fresh export bottlenecks have been reported in the past three days, though Vietnam’s broader agricultural exporters face pressure from freight and geopolitical risks linked to Middle East trade routes.
• India continues to be a key buyer of Vietnamese star anise, but short‑term demand signals are neutral, consistent with the flat FOB price profile.

Syria (SY)

• Syria’s anise‑growing zones remain structurally vulnerable to reduced rainfall and recurring drought, but no new crop‑specific alerts have been published in the last three days.
• Given this background risk, the current stability of FCA offers in Europe suggests traders are reasonably covered for nearby shipments.

📊 Weather Outlook (Next ~3 Days, Production‑Relevant Zones)

India – New Delhi & North India

• After the cool, rainy spell, forecasts point to a gradual temperature rise with drier conditions; maximums are expected to climb toward the mid‑30s °C over the coming week without immediate extreme heatwave alerts for Delhi.
• This supports field work and logistics, with neutral to mildly positive implications for near‑term star anise supply and movement.

Vietnam – Northern Highlands (Lang Son)

• No new high‑impact weather events have been flagged for northern Vietnam over the last three days; April conditions typically feature warm, relatively stable weather with occasional showers, which are generally favorable for star anise orchards.

Syria – Anise Seed Belt

• Recent climate commentary emphasizes the region’s long‑term drying trend, but there are no new short‑term storm or frost events reported this week; nearby supply is therefore expected to remain steady.

📆 Short‑Term Price Outlook & Trading Ideas

• Conventional Vietnam star anise (FOB Hanoi): Sideways bias; current ~7.70 EUR/kg is likely to hold over the next 3 days with a narrow ±1–2% band, absent fresh demand spikes.
• Organic star anise (IN, VN): Slightly soft tone after minor week‑on‑week declines; buyers can negotiate modest discounts on volume, while sellers should avoid over‑aggressive offers to prevent further drift.
• Syrian anise seeds (FCA NL): Flat quotes expected; any change in freight or Middle East risk premiums is more a medium‑term than a 3‑day driver at this stage.

Actionable Pointers

• Importers needing Q2 coverage in Europe and Asia can safely book partial volumes now, using current stability in Vietnam and Syrian quotes as an opportunity to lock in.
• Organic buyers may stagger purchases over the coming weeks to benefit from the mild downward bias, especially from India.
• Producers and exporters should monitor freight and regional risk around Middle East lanes, which could quickly spill into spice freight surcharges even if origin prices stay flat.

📉 3‑Day Directional View by Region

• IN – New Delhi FOB organic star anise: Slightly softer to stable (−0.5% to 0%).
• VN – Hanoi FOB star anise (conv. & organic): Stable (0% ±1%).
• SY – Anise seeds FCA NL: Stable (0% change expected).