China beans market: adzuki supply tight at origin, demand cautious, FOB Beijing prices broadly stable with limited downside ahead of new‑season planting.
Prices & Market Tone
FOB Beijing bean prices in EUR remain generally range‑bound. Chinese red adzuki beans are indicated around EUR 1.30–1.39/kg depending on grade and organic status, essentially flat versus last week. Kidney beans show mixed but small adjustments: large white conventional kidneys eased slightly to about EUR 2.02/kg, while organic small black kidneys edged up to roughly EUR 1.10/kg. Mung beans are stable to slightly firmer, with conventional 3.8 mm up near EUR 1.49/kg and organic at about EUR 1.59/kg.
Supply & Demand in China
Market feedback indicates that farmers in China’s major producing regions have already sold about 77% of their 2025 red adzuki bean crop, leaving limited farm‑gate supply. In Northeast China, trader inventories are heterogeneous but generally modest, with most holding 200–500 tonnes and only a few scaling up to around 1,000 tonnes. Overall, stock levels at origin are not burdensome, which helps prevent significant downside pressure on prices.
On the demand side, downstream wholesalers are prioritising digestion of existing inventories and have reduced their purchasing aggressiveness. Buying is mainly tied to routine replenishment and expectations around new‑season planting decisions and Dragon Boat Festival (early June) stocking. This wait‑and‑see attitude translates into a temporarily average market demand profile, where sentiment is cautious rather than bullish, and short‑term trades are driven more by immediate logistics and cash‑flow needs than by speculative positioning.
Fundamentals & Weather Outlook
Fundamentals in the adzuki segment are characterised by relatively low commercial inventories at origin—most traders report around 300 tonnes on hand, with only a minority exceeding 500 tonnes. Some traders are moderately increasing holdings, but not on a scale that would signal aggressive stockpiling. With roughly three‑quarters of farmer stocks already marketed, the remaining pipeline is concentrated in trader hands, supporting a mildly firm basis for quality lots.
Short‑term weather in key northeastern provinces such as Heilongjiang (Harbin) and Jilin (Changchun) over the next three days is seasonally cool to mild, with scattered showers and periods of cloud and sun, and daytime highs mostly in the mid‑teens to low 20s °C. This pattern is broadly favourable for early fieldwork and does not pose immediate risks to spring bean planting. As a result, near‑term price dynamics are more closely linked to demand and inventory behaviour than to weather shocks.
Trading Outlook & Strategy
- For exporters: With origin stocks moderate and farmer selling largely complete, consider maintaining offer levels for higher‑quality adzuki beans, while remaining flexible on nearby shipment terms to capture selective demand before Dragon Boat Festival.
- For domestic wholesalers: Given average demand and limited downside from tight farmer stocks, a staggered replenishment strategy is advisable—avoid heavy forward coverage but secure core needs on dips.
- For importers/end‑users abroad: Current FOB Beijing levels for adzuki and mung beans appear broadly fair; locking a portion of Q2–Q3 requirements may mitigate the risk of later firmness if new‑season acreage underperforms expectations.
3‑Day Price Direction (Indicative, EUR)
- CN FOB Beijing – Adzuki beans (red): Sideways to mildly firm; range around 1.30–1.39 EUR/kg as modest origin stocks offset soft demand.
- CN FOB Beijing – Mung beans: Stable, around 1.49–1.59 EUR/kg; no strong catalyst for immediate move.
- CN FOB Beijing – Kidney beans: Slightly mixed but overall sideways; white types may see small further adjustments within current ranges.