Brazil Nuts in NL Slip Below EU Benchmarks as Imports Cool

Brazil nut prices in the Netherlands are edging slightly lower, bucking the firmer tone seen in wider European benchmarks, as EU import volumes ease from last year’s record and nearby supply into NL remains comfortable. In Dordrecht, FCA prices for conventional medium Brazil nuts are broadly stable but have softened marginally over the past week, trading at about EUR 6.55/kg. This level sits well below indicative export-based reference prices in neighbouring Germany, highlighting a competitive Dutch position in intra-EU trade.

Prices

Spot FCA Dordrecht quotations for medium, non-organic Brazil nuts are assessed around EUR 6.55/kg, down roughly 0.5% from the last update but flat compared with early August. The recent move suggests a tight trading range rather than a directional trend, with buyers still able to secure volume without paying up for prompt delivery.

*Export unit value into Germany converted to EUR/kg for broad comparison only.

Supply & Demand

EU imports of Brazil nuts have cooled notably in 2026 after last year’s record, with volumes in the first part of the year down around a quarter and values nearly 20% lower. The Netherlands remains the single largest EU entry point, accounting for close to half of EU Brazil nut import value, emphasising its role as a key redistribution hub.

Bolivia and Peru together make up over 90% of EU Brazil nut supply, with Brazil itself providing only a small share. This cushions the EU Brazil nut chain from the latest EU action targeting Brazilian meat and other animal products over antimicrobial rules, which does not directly affect tree nuts but may still add some general uncertainty around South American agri-food trade.

Fundamentals & External Drivers

The current sideways pattern in Dutch prices reflects a balance between softer EU import demand and still-tight global fundamentals following strong price rises in previous seasons. Earlier analyses of the Brazil nut trade into the EU highlighted steep increases in import prices after weather-related yield losses, leaving a legacy of elevated cost structures along the chain even as volumes normalise.

At origin, Brazil nuts remain a wild-harvest, forest-based product, with production concentrated in the Amazon regions of Bolivia, Brazil and Peru. This limits rapid supply response and keeps the market structurally prone to weather and ecosystem shocks, but recent reports of declining deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon in early 2026 point to a somewhat more supportive backdrop for medium-term supply continuity.

Local Weather – NL Logistics Context

Weather in Dordrecht and the surrounding Rotterdam–Moerdijk logistics corridor over the coming days is forecast to remain seasonally mild and largely dry, with only light showers and no disruptive winds expected. Local temperatures and conditions should therefore not materially affect inland transport, container handling or short-term storage conditions for nuts in Dutch warehouses.

Trading Outlook (Next 1–3 Weeks)

• Buyers (roasters, packers): The slight easing in FCA Dordrecht offers an opportunity to extend coverage modestly into Q4 while prices remain below broader EU reference levels. Prioritise nearby shipments from NL stocks before committing to higher-priced replacement cargoes linked to export benchmarks.
• Sellers (importers, traders): With EU import volumes down year-on-year but inventories in NL still adequate, focus on maintaining premiums for certified quality and prompt delivery. Consider hedging downside via flexible offers, as any further softening in EU-wide nut demand could pressure spot values.
• Risk watch: Monitor Amazon weather updates and any spillover from EU–Brazil regulatory tensions; while Brazil nuts are not directly targeted, broader trade frictions could influence freight, documentation or financing conditions for South American-origin tree nuts.

3-Day NL Price Indication

• Netherlands – Dordrecht (FCA, Brazil nuts medium, conv.): Prices are expected to remain in a narrow range around EUR 6.50–6.60/kg over the next three days, with a slight downside bias if buyers continue to negotiate on the back of softer EU import statistics and stable local logistics.