China’s June adzuki bean exports are set to edge lower as volumes to Japan, Korea and Malaysia weaken slightly, keeping prices broadly stable.
Prices & Spreads
FOB Beijing indications for Chinese beans converted to EUR show a broadly stable to slightly softer tone week-on-week. Red adzuki beans (5.0 mm up) are assessed around EUR 1.31/kg for conventional and EUR 1.39/kg for organic product, marginally below late May levels. Kidney beans from China trade in a wide range depending on colour and quality, from roughly EUR 1.02/kg for black types to about EUR 2.07/kg for large white organic lots.
International benchmarks provide a soft cap: Brazilian dark red kidney beans are quoted near EUR 1.28/kg FOB, while UK-origin white kidney beans are around EUR 1.21/kg FOB. These non-Chinese origins help anchor importers’ price expectations in Japan, Korea and Southeast Asia, limiting scope for aggressive upward revision of Chinese adzuki offers in June despite seasonally tighter logistics.
Supply & Demand
From January to May 2026, China’s adzuki bean export volumes have shown a clear downward drift: 3,000 tonnes in January, 4,000 tonnes in February and March, 3,500 tonnes in April, and back to 3,000 tonnes in May. Sequentially, April exports fell by 12.5% versus March and May declined a further 14.3% versus April, underlining a weakening export pulse after the Q1 peak.
Japan, South Korea and Malaysia together account for more than 70% of total adzuki exports, and demand in these Asian markets is described as broadly stable in structural terms but currently less aggressive. Importers remain present in the market yet are slowing forward purchasing amid uncertainty over global growth and consumer spending. This translates into fewer long-dated contracts and preference for smaller, just-in-time cargoes, particularly for higher-priced organic beans.
Fundamentals & Export Outlook
Based on the latest monthly pattern, adzuki bean exports in June are expected to edge down further into the 2,800–3,000 tonne range. The anticipated decline is moderate and largely seasonal, reflecting the tail end of the main shipment window rather than a structural collapse in demand. Domestic supply is regarded as adequate, avoiding any pronounced squeeze on export availability.
Broader Chinese export data still show solid overall growth in goods trade, but the benefits are not fully spilling over into niche pulses like adzuki beans, where destination markets are mature and price-sensitive. Stable to slightly softer inquiry from Japan and Korea, combined with alternative supplies of other bean types from Brazil and Europe, encourages buyers to negotiate harder on adzuki values. As a result, export turnover and total export value in June are likely to slip modestly, even if unit prices in EUR remain relatively range-bound.
Weather & Production Notes
Weather across key Chinese bean-producing regions going into mid-June is generally seasonal, with forecasts pointing to average rainfall and temperatures. Current indications do not suggest any major threat to 2026 production potential for pulses, including adzuki beans. Plant development is progressing close to normal timelines, supporting the view of balanced supply in the coming months.
Attention remains on localized rainfall variation in Northeast and Northern China, but recent updates still point to overall adequate soil moisture. With no acute weather-driven production shock on the horizon, near-term price and volume movements in the adzuki export market are expected to be driven far more by demand-side and macroeconomic sentiment than by agronomic stress.
Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Exporters in China: Expect a mildly weak June export environment for adzuki beans, with volumes likely in the 2,800–3,000 tonne range. Prioritize price flexibility and competitive freight terms for Japan, Korea and Malaysia to defend market share amid cautious buyer behaviour.
- Asian importers: With export volumes easing but no major supply shock, consider using current stable EUR-denominated prices to secure near-term coverage while avoiding excessive forward length. Gradual, staggered purchases may capture any further minor softening in offers if demand remains subdued.
- Specialty and organic segment: Organic adzuki beans still command a noticeable premium over conventional lots. However, softer export sentiment suggests limited upside in the short term; buyers may negotiate slight discounts, while sellers should emphasize quality and certification to maintain margins.
3‑Day Price Direction (EUR, indicative)
- FOB Beijing – Adzuki beans (red, 5.0 mm up): Sideways to slightly softer over the next 3 days, with offers expected to remain close to EUR 1.30–1.32/kg as exporters compete for limited new business.
- FOB Beijing – Kidney beans (dark red): Largely stable near EUR 1.24–1.26/kg; relative firmness versus adzuki reflects diversified demand and alternative outlet markets.
- Key Asian destinations (CFR Japan/Korea): Delivered prices in EUR are likely to track FOB China moves closely, with narrow spreads and limited volatility expected in the very short term.