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Pigeon Pea Market Firms as India’s Mills Tighten Nearby Supply

Pigeon Pea Market Firms as India’s Mills Tighten Nearby Supply

CMB
CMB News Editorial
Editorial Desk

Pigeon pea prices in India are firming on mill demand and tight supply, while import parity, MSP policy and global offers from Myanmar and Africa limit sharp rallies.

Pigeon pea prices are firming across India as dal mills step up spot procurement against a structurally tight supply backdrop, while continued imports and sub‑MSP domestic levels temper any sharp upside in the near term. Across Indian wholesale centers, pigeon pea is trading steadily to slightly higher, with mill demand ahead of the summer consumption season offsetting pressure from ongoing Myanmar arrivals and limited government procurement at the higher Minimum Support Price.

Prices & Spreads

Domestic lemon-variety pigeon pea in Delhi has firmed to around $83.33–$83.59 per 100 kg, with Mumbai holding close behind at roughly $79.81–$83.85. Other key hubs such as Solapur, Indore, Kanpur and Jalgaon are also reporting incremental gains, indicating broad-based firmness rather than isolated strength. Chennai CFD values for May–June shipments are steady around $79.81–$80.07 per 100 kg, underlining stable import parity in the near term.

On the import side, Myanmar-origin lemon pigeon pea is holding at about $805 per tonne CFD Chennai for May–June, while Sudan-origin has eased to roughly $815 per tonne for June–July. Mozambique white pigeon pea is trading near $630–€635 per tonne and gajri at about $625–$630 per tonne CFD for May–June. In Mumbai, Sudan-origin is indicated around $70.06 per 100 kg and white at $65.84, pointing to a visible gap between some landed values and higher domestic wholesale quotes in key inland markets.

Supply, Demand & Policy

Domestically, millers have increased hand-to-mouth buying, tightening nearby spot availability and supporting prices, even as arrivals of the desi variety from producing belts remain steady. The government’s Minimum Support Price is set around $89.02 per 100 kg this season, up by about $4.74, but physical market prices at producing centers are still below this floor. Limited procurement volumes at MSP mean many farmers are still selling into open markets, keeping flows alive but not sufficient to fully satisfy mill demand.

Import flows remain active, led by Myanmar shipments, which continue to anchor regional supply for South Asian buyers. However, current landed costs are increasingly out of line with some domestic market prices, making new import contracting less attractive. This price disparity is already giving importers pause and, if sustained, could slow the pace of fresh bookings and gradually tighten India’s available pipeline into early summer.

International Context & Cross-Market Signals

Globally, consistent demand from South Asian markets has kept Myanmar-origin pigeon pea prices firm, effectively putting a floor under CFD values and, by extension, under India’s domestic market. As long as Myanmar offers do not retreat meaningfully, downside for Indian quotes is limited, even with ongoing arrivals. Sudan and Mozambique origins provide some diversification, but their pricing remains closely aligned with Myanmar benchmarks.

In Europe and the Black Sea region, dried pea prices for food and feed use are comparatively subdued. Recent indications show Ukrainian yellow peas ex-Odesa around €0.26/kg and green peas near €0.33/kg FCA, while UK green peas stand near €1.02/kg FOB London and marrowfat peas about €1.33/kg. These segments serve different end uses from pigeon pea (tur/arhar) but highlight that the broader pea complex remains relatively well supplied compared with India’s structurally tighter pigeon pea balance.

Risks & Short-Term Outlook

Market participants remain cautious on the scale of any near-term rally. Dal mills continue to purchase largely on a need-based basis, avoiding aggressive forward coverage given the active import pipeline. At the same time, any additional wave of competitively priced import contracts could cap domestic upside quickly, especially if Myanmar or African origins soften. Conversely, a pause in new import bookings because of unfavorable parity would steadily tighten domestic availability and support incremental gains.

Over the next two to four weeks, pigeon pea prices are expected to hold firm to slightly higher in most Indian markets. Upside risks include stronger-than-expected mill buying ahead of peak summer consumption and potential logistical disruptions to imports. Downside risks are mainly tied to a correction in overseas offers, particularly from Myanmar, and any step-up in government procurement volumes at MSP that could temporarily relieve farmer selling pressure.

Trading & Procurement Recommendations

  • Dal mills in India: Maintain staggered procurement, focusing on near-term coverage rather than long-dated positions. Use any dips driven by import arrivals to top up inventories, but remain wary of chasing prices above MSP given policy and import risk.
  • Importers: Reassess new Myanmar and African origin contracts carefully against current domestic wholesale levels. Consider delaying additional bookings unless clear discounts to Indian market values emerge to compensate for currency and policy risk.
  • Producers: With spot values still below MSP in many producing markets, engage selectively with government procurement where accessible, while timing open-market sales into periods of mill-led strength.
  • European buyers of other pea types: Take advantage of currently stable Ukrainian and UK pea prices to secure medium-term coverage, as India’s firm pigeon pea environment could eventually lend some support to the broader pulse complex.

3-Day Directional Outlook (EUR, indicative)

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Market Data Table
Schwarzer Pfeffer6.850 €/t+2,3 %
Koriander1.240 €/t−0,8 %
Kreuzkümmel2.100 €/t+1,5 %
Zimt (Cassia)8.900 €/t+0,4 %
Kurkuma3.200 €/t−1,2 %
Kardamom grün18.500 €/t+3,1 %
Ingwer (getr.)1.850 €/t+0,9 %
Chili (getr.)2.750 €/t−0,5 %
Schwarzer Pfeffer6.850 €/t+2,3 %
Koriander1.240 €/t−0,8 %
Kreuzkümmel2.100 €/t+1,5 %
Zimt (Cassia)8.900 €/t+0,4 %
Kurkuma3.200 €/t−1,2 %
Kardamom grün18.500 €/t+3,1 %
Ingwer (getr.)1.850 €/t+0,9 %
Chili (getr.)2.750 €/t−0,5 %
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