Dried Pineapple Prices Ease Slightly as Heat and New Rains Shape Thai & Vietnamese Outlook

Dried pineapple prices from Thailand and Vietnam are edging slightly lower in Europe and Asia, with no signs of acute tightness despite challenging weather. Thai supply is under watch as the rainy season begins with below-normal rainfall expectations, while Vietnam faces extreme heat followed by storms, but processing flows remain broadly stable. Short-term, buyers see a mildly softer market with room for tactical coverage rather than aggressive forward buying. Thailand is formally entering the 2026 rainy season with forecasts for around 10% less rain than normal and 1–2 storms, implying continued weather volatility but not yet a clear production shock. Vietnam is experiencing a severe heatwave, with temperatures above 39°C in parts of the country, though a shift to showers and thunderstorms from May 17–18 should ease immediate stress but may disrupt field operations. Against this backdrop, Thai authorities are pushing broader fruit exports and support schemes, indirectly underpinning processing and export logistics for pineapple alongside other tropical fruits.

Prices & Recent Moves

Spot dried pineapple prices (converted to EUR) show a modest week‑on‑week softening from both Thai and Vietnamese origins:

The mild decline across Thai and Vietnamese offers suggests buyers are not facing immediate scarcity, and European inventories for standard sugar-added cuts appear adequate. Broader global pineapple imports remain firm on the fresh and processed side, supporting baseline demand but not translating into strong price upside for dried product this week.

Supply, Weather & Harvest Conditions

Thailand (TH)

Thailand has officially entered the 2026 rainy season as of May 15, with the Thai Meteorological Department projecting about 10% below-normal rainfall and only one to two tropical storms affecting the country. In the next three days, central and eastern growing areas face very warm conditions around 36–37°C with frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which can slow fieldwork but also bring needed moisture after earlier heat.

Government campaigns to boost fruit exports and manage seasonal gluts, particularly in durian and other tropical fruits, are helping keep logistics and export channels active for the wider fruit complex. While not pineapple-specific, these measures reduce the risk of bottlenecks at ports and cold stores, indirectly supporting continued flows of processed and dried pineapple to Europe and Asia.

Vietnam (VN)

Vietnam is in the middle of an intense heatwave, with temperatures recently exceeding 39°C in parts of the country, including northern regions such as Hanoi. Over the next three days, forecasts show highs near 32–34°C with repeated afternoon thunderstorms across key agricultural areas, including the northern plains and coastal zones.

The heat has raised short-term stress risks for fruit crops, but the expected onset of showers and storms from May 17–18 should lower temperatures and support soil moisture. However, localized heavy rain may temporarily disrupt harvesting and transport, implying some short-term variability in deliveries rather than a clear structural shortage for dried pineapple.

Market Fundamentals & Demand

Globally, pineapple remains well supported by processed and fresh demand, with import prices described as firm in important consuming regions earlier this year due to limited sourcing options and high input costs among major exporters, including Thailand and the Netherlands as a European hub. Yet current dried pineapple indications from Thailand into the EU are easing slightly, suggesting sufficient product in European warehouses and steady but not surging end-user buying.

In Thailand, official projections for 2026 point to continued expansion in processed fruit exports, including canned pineapple, aligned with government export-promotion policies and anticipated growth in global demand. This underpins a medium-term expectation of robust processing throughput, though current weather risks tied to a likely El Niño phase and below-normal rainfall keep an element of uncertainty on 2026–27 fruit availability.

Short-Term Outlook & Trading Ideas

Near-term, the balance of slightly softer prices, adequate European stocks, and weather-related headline risk suggests a broadly sideways market with a mild downside bias for standard Thai cuts and stable-to-soft Vietnamese FOB offers.

Trading Outlook (next 2–4 weeks)

• Buyers in the EU: Use the current ~EUR 3.90–4.00/kg Thai FCA range to extend coverage modestly for Q3, but avoid over-committing until clearer signals emerge on Thai rainfall patterns and fruit sizing.
• Importers sourcing VN: Maintain regular purchase programs around ~EUR 6.75/kg FOB; consider small spot buys on any weather-driven dips, as Vietnam’s heatwave plus storms could create short-lived logistical delays rather than deep structural tightness.
• Processors in TH & VN: Hedge only partially against FX and input cost risk; given government export support and likely El Niño-related volatility, a balanced approach between spot and forward sales is prudent.

3‑Day Regional Price Indication (Directional)

• Thailand → EU (FCA NL, dried pineapple, normal sugar): Prices around EUR 3.9–4.0/kg expected to trade steady to slightly softer over the next three days, with weather headlines limiting any sharp downside.
• Vietnam (FOB Hanoi, dried pineapple): Around EUR 6.7–6.8/kg, likely stable, with marginal downside risk if thunderstorms ease heat stress without causing significant harvest disruption.