Stable Dried Apple Cube Prices as Chinese Supply Stays Comfortable
FCA Dordrecht prices for Chinese dried apple cubes are stable, supported by ample supply, manageable Chinese weather risks and a firm EUR against CNY.
Prices
As of 23 July 2026 (FCA Dordrecht, NL, Chinese origin, non‑organic):
Prices have been flat since 17 July, following small step‑ups earlier in the month as European buyers covered summer needs. The current levels reflect the recent appreciation of the euro against the Chinese yuan, with EUR/CNY trading around 7.70–7.75 this week, which slightly offsets any rise in CNY‑based offers when converted into EUR.
Supply & Demand
China remains the dominant global exporter of dried apples, with customs data and recent trade statistics confirming strong outbound flows in this category. Exporters report normal factory operations and good availability of raw material stocks from the 2025/26 crop, so there is no structural shortage in the pipeline.
On the demand side, European buyers are still cautious, with steady but unspectacular offtake from bakery, cereal and snack segments. There is little evidence of aggressive forward buying, as users are confident in Chinese supply and prefer to wait for clearer indications on the upcoming fresh apple harvest and new‑season dried offers.
Weather & Crop Outlook (China)
Official climate guidance for late July and early August points to above‑normal rainfall in key North China regions, including parts of Shandong, Henan, Anhui and other agricultural provinces. These areas are important for apple production and processing, and the projected wetter, warm pattern raises some risk of disease pressure in orchards if field management lags.
Earlier agro‑meteorological reporting for North China this summer already highlighted a tendency toward high temperature and high humidity conditions, advising growers to strengthen pest and disease monitoring. Local governments, such as in Weihai (Shandong), continue to promote and expand apple deep‑processing capacity in response to strong demand for high‑value dried products, suggesting that processors will seek to secure sufficient fruit even if weather adds some yield or quality volatility.
Fundamentals & Cost Factors
- Raw material: The latest national crop commentary shows broadly stable grain and field‑crop conditions, implying no generalized agricultural stress at this stage. While not apple‑specific, it signals that overall farm operations and input availability are normal.
- Processing capacity: Recent regional policy support in Shandong is upgrading apple deep‑processing lines (including drying) and emphasizing higher value‑added products. This underpins medium‑term export capacity for dried cubes.
- FX and macro: The yuan has been relatively firm in 2026, but the euro remains strong enough to keep EUR prices of Chinese goods broadly competitive for EU buyers, limiting upside momentum for dried apple quotes.
Trading Outlook & 3-Day Price View (Region: CN Supply to EU)
- Short-term price bias (next 3 days): Sideways. With stable offers, normal logistics and no acute weather shock, FCA Dordrecht prices for Chinese dried apple cubes are likely to remain in the current EUR 4.30–4.50/kg range.
- For buyers: Consider covering near-term Q3 needs at current levels, but keep some volume open for Q4 in case of any weather‑related softness in raw fruit prices after harvest.
- For sellers: Maintain offer discipline; current fundamentals do not justify discounts, but be prepared for more competitive pricing if late‑July rains translate into a larger or cheaper fresh apple supply.
Indicative 3-day regional outlook (based on Chinese supply, FCA NL, 24–26 July 2026):