Turkish and Spanish Figs: Quietly Firmer EUR Prices on Heat and Strong Crop Outlook
Concise July 2026 fig market update: Turkish and Spanish dried fig prices in EUR hold slightly firmer on strong crop outlooks, hot weather and solid export demand.
Prices
Over the last update on 24 July 2026, Turkish organic dried figs FOB İzmir firmed by roughly EUR 0.02–0.03 per kg across key grades, while Spanish-origin dried figs in Madrid also ticked up by about EUR 0.02 per kg. Conventional Malatya fig quotations have been stable since mid-July, suggesting a balanced pre‑harvest market.
The narrow price movements confirm a quietly firm tone: buyers are still present and forward export demand is solid, but there is no panic buying ahead of the main 2026/27 dried fig marketing period, which traditionally prices more decisively around mid‑August. Earlier reports already indicated that EUR-denominated export offers for Turkish dried figs were broadly stable into early July, setting the stage for the current sideways‑to‑slightly‑firmer pattern.
Supply & Demand
Turkey remains the dominant supplier in global dried figs, with strong 2026 crop expectations after a mild winter and successful pollination in the main Aegean fig belt. Industry sources highlighted already in late June that the upcoming Turkish fig season should be high‑yield, with good fruit set and limited weather damage, encouraging exporters to plan for robust shipments in the 2026/27 export year.
Export statistics for dried fruits from Turkey in the marketing year to late July 2026 show dried figs retaining a key share of sector export earnings, confirming persistent demand from the EU and other markets. Spain’s fig production is smaller but regionally important, especially in Extremadura and Andalusia, where figs are often integrated into mixed fruit systems. Recent Spanish agriculture data confirm a healthy 2026 fruit campaign in western regions overall, with sufficient irrigation so far to maintain orchard productivity.
Weather & Crop Conditions (ES, TR)
In western Turkey (İzmir region), the 3‑day outlook from 25–27 July calls for mostly sunny, hot weather, with maximum temperatures rising from around 29°C to 35°C and minimal rainfall. Such conditions are favourable for both on‑tree ripening and traditional sun‑drying of figs, supporting expectations for good sugar concentration and low disease pressure.
Further inland around Malatya, conditions are similarly dry and warm, with daytime highs near 30–32°C over the same period and clear skies dominating. This supports drying of later‑season fruit and limits the risk of quality downgrades from humidity. In Spain, a renewed heatwave is unfolding across much of the country, with Seville and broader Andalusia expected to see highs of 34–40°C over the next three days under full sun.
While such extreme heat can stress non‑irrigated orchards and raise wildfire risk, for well‑managed fig plots it is broadly supportive of rapid drying and intense sweetness, provided irrigation water remains available and harvest is well timed. There are, however, mounting concerns that repeated heatwaves could tighten irrigation limits later in the season and raise labour and logistics costs during peak harvest.
Fundamentals & Trade Flows
The fundamental backdrop remains constructive for exporters. Earlier analysis indicated that after a relatively weak Turkish dried fig crop in 2024/25, production in 2025/26 and now 2026/27 is rebounding, increasing availability but from a tight base. Combined with steady demand from the EU27 and other key destinations, this favours active export flows at stable EUR values rather than aggressive price cutting.
Trade data for Turkish dried fruits show the EU27 as the main buyer group, absorbing nearly half of export volumes and value, with Germany, France, Italy and the UK as leading end‑markets. Industry news from the Aegean export sector in July 2026 confirms that dried figs remain among the top export earners within the dried fruit basket, second only to raisins in value terms. This reinforces Turkey’s pricing power, especially in higher‑value organic and speciality grades, and helps explain the mild firming in premium FOB İzmir offers.
Short-Term Trading Outlook
- Bias: mildly bullish – With hot, dry weather in both Turkey and Spain and solid export interest, near‑term downside in EUR fig prices appears limited. Sellers show little appetite to concede discounts ahead of the critical August pricing window.
- Buyers: Consider covering a portion of Q4 2026 needs now, particularly for organic Protoben, Lerida No.4 and mini grades from İzmir, before any further weather‑ or currency‑driven firming.
- Sellers: Maintain offer levels but remain flexible on shipment periods rather than price, especially into heat‑affected southern European markets where logistics and cooling costs may rise.
- Spread play: The current discount of Spanish Gold figs versus top Turkish organic grades offers some room for value‑oriented buying into blended programmes, assuming Spanish quality holds under the ongoing heatwave.
3‑Day Directional Price Indication (EUR, FOB)
- Turkey – İzmir organic dried figs (all main grades): Stable to slightly firmer (0 to +0.05 EUR/kg) on strong crop outlook and active export enquiries.
- Turkey – Malatya conventional dried figs: Largely stable (0 to +0.02 EUR/kg), with weather supporting quality but ample supply expectations capping gains.
- Spain – Spanish Gold dried figs: Stable to slightly firmer (0 to +0.03 EUR/kg) in the wake of the heatwave and firm southern European dried fruit complex.