Stable dried jackfruit prices in Vietnam mask a softer backdrop in overall fruit and vegetable exports, which have fallen sharply since February. With FOB Hanoi values steady and hot, seasonally supportive weather ahead, the market currently leans slightly in favor of buyers but without clear downside momentum.
Vietnam’s broader fruits and vegetables exports dropped 45.5% month‑on‑month in February 2026, indicating weaker external demand and some congestion in cross‑border trade with key markets such as China. Against this backdrop, dried jackfruit slices FOB Hanoi are trading around EUR 5.80–5.90/kg (≈6.27 USD/kg), broadly unchanged over the past month, suggesting balanced spot supply and demand in the processing segment. Extremely hot, humid conditions forecast for Hanoi over the next three days should not disrupt near‑term processing, but may start to tighten fresh raw material availability if heat persists into April.
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Jackfruit dried
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FOB 6.27 €/kg
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📈 Prices & Recent Moves
Dried jackfruit slices, conventional, FOB Hanoi, currently stand near EUR 5.80–5.90/kg, converted from the latest USD quotes. Over the past three to four weeks, prices have edged only marginally higher, effectively moving sideways and signaling a stable equilibrium between processors and export buyers.
| Product | Origin | Location / Term | Current Price (EUR/kg) | WoW Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackfruit dried, slices | Vietnam | Hanoi, FOB | ≈ 5.8–5.9 | Flat to slightly firmer |
For now, buyers still find good spot availability, but processors are cautious about offering significant discounts given seasonal expectations for fresh jackfruit from March to August.
🌍 Supply, Demand & Trade Context
Fresh jackfruit supply in Vietnam is entering its main seasonal window (March–August), providing adequate raw material for drying operations in the near term. However, official customs data show that Vietnam’s total fruits and vegetables exports fell 45.5% month‑on‑month in February 2026, with shipments to China down 56.8% and to the USA down 36.2%. This points to softer external demand and potential logistics or border‑clearance frictions across categories.
Within exports to China, jackfruit remains a notable component of the fruit basket, though volumes have recently fluctuated with broader adjustments in Chinese import demand. The sharp February slowdown in aggregate fruit and vegetable exports increases competition among Vietnamese suppliers, encouraging some to pivot more volume into higher‑value processed formats such as dried slices, which in turn supports capacity utilization and helps keep FOB prices broadly stable rather than falling sharply.
☀️ Weather & Production Outlook (Region: Vietnam)
Hanoi and northern Vietnam face very warm to hot and humid conditions over March 29–31, with daytime highs forecast around 30–38°C and high nighttime temperatures near 24–25°C. While this weather is not immediately disruptive for drying facilities, sustained heat can stress jackfruit trees and affect fruit quality or size later in the season, especially if accompanied by limited rainfall.
In the short term, processors benefit from good drying conditions and do not report weather‑related interruptions. However, if extreme heat persists into April and May, the market could begin to price in potential medium‑term tightening in raw fruit availability, giving a mild upward bias to dried product prices despite currently weak export momentum.
📊 Market Drivers & Risks
- Export slowdown: The sharp February contraction in Vietnam’s fruits and vegetables exports raises the risk of demand‑side headwinds for dried jackfruit, particularly in China and the USA, and may cap aggressive price increases in the near term.
- Seasonal raw material flow: The onset of the main jackfruit season (March–August) is ensuring good raw fruit supply to processors, limiting upside pressure on dried slice prices for now.
- Weather heat risk: Very hot conditions in northern Vietnam, if prolonged, could tighten medium‑term supplies, a risk that market participants are monitoring but have not yet priced aggressively.
- Currency and freight: With broader volatility in global trade and logistics, any renewed increase in freight rates or FX shifts versus the euro could translate into modest adjustments in quoted EUR‑denominated FOB levels.
📆 Trading Outlook & 3‑Day Price Indications
Trading outlook
- Buyers: Consider covering near‑term needs (4–8 weeks) at current flat prices, while avoiding excessive forward coverage until there is more clarity on export demand recovery after the February slump.
- Sellers/processors: Maintain offer discipline around current levels; avoid deep discounts given seasonal support and potential weather risks, but remain flexible on volume for reliable counterparties to secure throughput.
- Speculative participants: The risk‑reward currently favors a mildly bullish stance over a 1–2 month horizon, conditional on signs of export normalization and any confirmation of heat‑related stress on fresh supply.
3‑day regional price view (all in EUR, directional)
- FOB Hanoi, dried jackfruit slices: ≈ 5.8–5.9 EUR/kg over the next 3 days; expected to trade sideways with a slight upward bias if buyers step in on the recent stability.
- Domestic Vietnam dried jackfruit wholesale (indicative): Local prices are expected to remain broadly stable, tracking FOB trends and supported by good raw material inflow despite weaker overall fruit export data.
- Forward indications (1 month, FOB Vietnam): Mild upside risk of +1–3% in EUR terms if export orders pick up post‑February and hot weather persists; downside risk mainly tied to a deeper or prolonged demand slowdown.
