Brazil Nuts Flat in Dordrecht Despite Stronger Origins
Brazil nut prices in Dordrecht hold at EUR 6.50/kg FCA despite firmer origin markets and strong Brazilian exports. Short-term Dutch outlook remains stable.
Prices & Local Market
Brazil nuts (medium, conventional) in Dordrecht, NL, are indicated at about EUR 6.50/kg FCAassociate.daymonglobalinsights.com)
Given strong reported price growth in 2024 for Brazil-origin nuts (April up more than 50% year-on-year to just over EUR 8/kg at origin), current Dordrecht levels look competitive rather than overheated, especially considering logistics and shelling costs.
Supply & Demand Drivers
On the supply side, Brazil continues to dominate global Brazil nut production, with harvests concentrated in Amazon regions and largely dependent on wild collection rather than intensive plantations. Recent export data from Acre state show Brazil nut exports reaching around USD 6.5 million in early 2026, with Europe listed among key destinations alongside the US and Asia, underlining solid export momentum.
In-shell prices at origin have risen sharply from about USD 0.77/kg in 2023 to roughly USD 2.91/kg this year, indicating tighter availability and stronger global demand for forest-sourced nuts. Meanwhile, statistical yearbook data confirm that the Netherlands is one of the main global importers of Brazil nuts, consolidating its role as a distribution and processing hub for Europe. Nearby markets such as France and the UK report higher average import prices and a transition toward more premium, niche demand, suggesting that European buyers are willing to accept elevated price levels to secure quality supply.
Fundamentals & Weather Context (NL)
Locally, Brazil nut availability in the Netherlands does not depend on domestic production, but port logistics and storage conditions can still be influenced by weather. A 14‑day forecast for Dordrecht points to mostly mild spring conditions, with periods of cloud and sun and no major storm systems or prolonged heavy rain expected in the coming days.
These weather conditions are supportive for smooth port operations around Dordrecht and Rotterdam, limiting the risk of short-term disruptions to nut handling, cleaning, or inland transport. With no immediate logistical shocks visible, the local supply chain for imported nuts, including Brazil nuts, should remain normal, reinforcing the current stable price picture.
Short-Term Outlook & Trading Ideas
- Flat near term: Given unchanged local offers and steady logistics, Dordrecht Brazil nut prices around EUR 6.50/kg FCA are likely to remain broadly stable over the next 3 days.
- Upside risk from origins: Continued firmness in Brazilian in-shell and kernel prices, combined with strong export flows, poses an upward risk for replacement costs into NL if demand picks up.
- Importers: Consider securing short-term needs at current levels, as these sit below recent origin benchmarks and provide some cushion against a further rise in export prices.
- Buyers/end-users: For large-volume users, stagger purchases rather than delaying entirely; the balance of risks over Q2 still tilts mildly to the upside if Amazon supply tightens further.
3‑Day Directional Price Indication (NL)
With calm local weather and no sign yet of fresh, higher-priced replacement cargoes arriving, a sideways market in the immediate term is the base case, while monitoring origin offers and freight for any early signs of tightening.