Vietnam dried jackfruit prices steady as monsoon, storm risks loom

Vietnam dried jackfruit export prices out of Hanoi are holding flat around EUR 5.75/kg FOB, with only a modest uptick over the past two weeks despite firm overall fruit-export demand. Near-term price risk tilts slightly to the upside as northern Vietnam enters peak monsoon conditions and faces heavy-rain disruption from a passing typhoon system. Strong first-half growth in Vietnam’s fruit and vegetable exports, led by China and other Asian buyers, is underpinning steady demand for processed products including dried jackfruit. At the same time, July brings hot, humid weather and intense rainfall in the Red River Delta, where jackfruit sourcing and processing are concentrated. Forecasts highlight above-normal heat and episodes of heavy rain for northern Vietnam, alongside warnings of flash-flood risk from tropical systems moving through the Gulf of Tonkin, which could briefly slow raw-fruit collection, transport and drying operations.

Prices

Latest offers for conventional dried jackfruit slices (FOB Hanoi, origin Vietnam) are assessed at approximately EUR 5.75/kg, unchanged from the previous quote one week ago and up about 1% from mid-June levels, after converting from prevailing USD-based export indications using current EUR/USD market rates.

The broader fruit and vegetable export complex remains supportive: Vietnam’s agro-forestry-fishery exports rose 6% year-on-year in the first half of 2026, with fruit and vegetable exports up 17.7% to EUR-equivalent 3.35–3.45 billion, and China taking over half of that volume. This solid offtake for processed products helps keep dried jackfruit prices underpinned even as competition from other tropical fruits remains strong. 

Supply & Demand

Vietnam is in a period of robust fruit-export performance, with fruit and vegetable exports up double digits year-on-year and processed products steadily gaining share in the export mix. Recent data show processed fruit and vegetables now account for roughly one-third of sector export value, a trend that favors demand for dried items such as jackfruit. 

Jackfruit continues to benefit from strong Chinese demand for both fresh and processed forms, while secondary markets in the US, South Korea and Europe show stable to slightly firmer interest. No major policy disruptions have been reported in the past few days, and logistics through northern ports are currently normal, though susceptible to short-term weather-related delays in July.

Weather & Production Conditions (VN)

July marks the peak of the summer monsoon in northern Vietnam, including Hanoi and surrounding jackfruit-growing provinces. Typical conditions are very hot and humid, with daytime temperatures often above 32°C and frequent heavy showers. 

Seasonal outlooks call for near-normal to slightly above-normal July rainfall nationwide, with northern Vietnam potentially seeing 5–15% more rain than average. At the same time, national forecasts highlight more frequent heatwaves in the July–September period. 

In the very near term, meteorological agencies warn that a tropical system crossing the northern Gulf of Tonkin could deliver 200–300 mm of rain, with localized totals up to 500 mm in northeastern provinces from the night of 3 July through 5 July. This raises short-lived risks of flooding, landslides and transport disruption in parts of northern Vietnam, potentially complicating raw-fruit collection and drying operations over the coming days. 

Fundamentals & Market Drivers

• Export demand: First-half 2026 fruit and vegetable exports are up sharply, with China accounting for just over half of Vietnam’s sector exports, keeping processed-fruit orders generally firm. 
• Value shift to processed products: Official data show processed fruits and vegetables gaining share in total export value, supporting steady utilization of drying capacity. 
• Weather risk: Elevated rainfall and a current typhoon-related event in northern Vietnam pose short-term operational risk but are unlikely to materially damage jackfruit trees; the main impact is on harvest logistics and drying efficiency. 
• Competition within the fruit complex: Exceptional growth in durian exports is drawing attention and resources, but jackfruit’s role as a cost-competitive processed product for snacks and ingredients continues to support baseline demand. 

3–7 Day Outlook & Trading View

Over the next 3–5 days, northern Vietnam is expected to see very heavy rainfall in some areas as the typhoon system passes, followed by continued hot, humid monsoon conditions. Transport bottlenecks and drying constraints are possible but should ease as rains subside, limiting the duration of any supply-side squeeze. 

Trading recommendations

• Buyers: Consider securing nearby July–August coverage at current EUR 5.75/kg FOB levels, as short-term weather disruptions could prompt small premiums or tighter nearby availability.
• Sellers/processors: Use any weather-related price spikes in the coming weeks to lock in forward sales, but avoid over-committing volumes while logistics and drying capacity face rain-related constraints.
• End-users: Monitor quality variations in near-term shipments due to high humidity; specify moisture and packaging requirements clearly in contracts.

3-day price indication (VN)