German triticale feed prices edge higher on firm domestic demand

German feed-grade triticale in north-western Germany continues to firm slightly, supported by solid compound feed demand and a broadly steady feed grain complex, while benign local weather limits immediate harvest or quality concerns. In the Lower Saxony region around Drentwede, ex-farm triticale prices in late August and early September have climbed by around 6–7% from mid-August levels, putting current values toward the upper end of regional producer ranges reported in central and southern Germany. Recent German and Bavarian market reports show triticale trading in a broad corridor around the mid-€160s per tonne ex-farm, with north-western quotes now testing the high of that band. Weather in the coming three days looks mostly stable with only light showers and moderate winds, so logistics and remaining post-harvest fieldwork should proceed with little disruption, suggesting a predominantly demand-led market in the very short term.

Prices

Ex-farm feed triticale in Drentwede, Lower Saxony, has moved steadily higher since mid-August, reflecting tighter on-farm selling and resilient local feed demand. A German market update this week notes that north-west German triticale is now trading near the top of reported producer price ranges for central and southern regions.

Current regional quotations in other German states support this picture: reports from Rhineland-Palatinate and Bavaria place triticale mostly in the €160–175/t ex-farm corridor, with average indications around €165–168/t, confirming a firm but not explosive price environment nationwide.

Supply & Demand

Germany’s triticale area for the 2026 harvest has modestly recovered after previous lows, with planted area estimated up nearly 5% year-on-year, contributing to a generally adequate domestic supply. At EU level, triticale belongs to the mixed grains segment, where trade flows remain relatively limited and predominantly intra-European, especially between Poland and Germany for feed and industrial use.

On the demand side, triticale continues to compete with rye and feed wheat in compound rations, benefitting from its robust feed value in pig and poultry diets. Recent EU commentary on plant protein balances underscores ongoing reliance on cereals as a key component of low- to medium-protein feed, keeping structural demand for triticale stable despite long‑term expectations of slightly lower overall cereal feed use.

Weather & Crop Conditions (DE)

For Drentwede and the surrounding Lower Saxony region, the next three days (5–7 September) are forecast to bring mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions, with highs gradually rising from around 20°C to mid‑20s, limited showers, and a temporary wind advisory for Saturday.

With the main triticale harvest largely completed, this pattern is favourable for remaining post-harvest operations and grain drying, and there is no immediate weather-related threat to stored grain quality. Soil moisture is generally adequate in north‑west Germany, suggesting that near-term price moves are likely to be driven more by demand and broader feed grain market sentiment than by local weather shocks.

Fundamentals & Market Drivers

• Feed grain complex: Triticale is moving broadly in line with the German feed cereals complex, with firming in feed wheat and rye helping to underpin values.
• Domestic feed demand: Stable to strong compound feed production in Germany, as shown by recent official mixed-feed statistics, supports ongoing offtake for triticale as a competitive cereal component.
• Limited export alternative: EU triticale and mixed grains exports remain modest, and cross-border flows are mostly regional (notably Poland–Germany), so the German price is primarily determined by domestic balance rather than global trade swings.
• Medium-term outlook: EU outlooks foresee slightly declining cereal use in feed over the next decade, but in the very short term (weeks), this structural trend is outweighed by local availability and substitution within rations.

Trading Outlook (Next 1–2 Weeks)

• For producers: With prices in north‑west Germany nearing the upper end of national ex-farm ranges, incremental sales on rallies appear prudent, especially for those with limited on‑farm storage or high liquidity needs.
• For feed buyers: Near-term downside risk looks limited while the wider feed complex stays firm; consider covering short-term needs but avoid overextending coverage in case of seasonal harvest pressure from late sellers.
• For traders: Basis levels in Lower Saxony are relatively strong versus southern Germany; watch for opportunities to arbitrage regional spreads if additional supply emerges from neighbouring regions or Poland.

3‑Day Price Indication – Germany (Direction)

• Lower Saxony (Drentwede, ex-farm feed triticale): Slightly firmer to sideways over the next three days, with strong nearby demand offset by seasonally ample post-harvest supply.
• Southern Germany (Bavaria & RLP, ex-farm): Mostly steady in the mid‑€160s/t range, with only marginal upside expected unless the broader feed market strengthens further.
• National trend: Overall German triticale prices are expected to remain firm but range‑bound in the very short term, tracking the domestic feed grain complex and stable weather backdrop.