Vietnam Dried Guava FOB Hanoi Steady but Supported by Firm Export Demand

Vietnamese dried guava FOB Hanoi prices are holding steady after recent gains, supported by firm export demand for Asian dried fruits and stable short‑term weather in the main northern growing areas. With no immediate harvest or logistics disruptions visible over the next few days, spot levels are expected to remain range‑bound, with a mild upward bias if export enquiries continue to improve. Vietnam remains an active supplier of processed tropical fruits, with customs data showing guava and related processed fruit exports under HS 2007 as a notable growth segment in 2026. At the same time, regional online B2B platforms report a supply‑constrained environment for Asian dried fruits and nuts, as buyer numbers rise faster than available offers. In northern Vietnam, including Hanoi and surrounding production zones, late‑September weather forecasts call for hot conditions with only passing showers, limiting short‑term weather risk for harvest and processing operations. Overall, fundamentals argue for stable to slightly firmer dried guava prices into early October.

Prices

Dried guava prices in Vietnam have moved higher over September and have now consolidated at a stable level. The current quotation for white dried guava, origin Vietnam, FOB Hanoi, is:

Over the past month, FOB Hanoi prices have climbed from earlier September quotations and are now consolidating at 5.4 EUR/kg, suggesting buyers have accepted the higher level while fresh upside momentum has temporarily paused.

Supply & Demand

Vietnam is an established exporter of processed fruits, including guava products categorized under HS 2007, where recent customs statistics highlight continued export activity through September 2026. While official data aggregate several fruit items, guava remains a key tropical component, helping underpin baseline demand for dried formats.

On the demand side, a recent Southeast Asia dried fruits and nuts export strategy report notes that international buyer numbers for dried fruits on major B2B platforms have increased by more than 50% year‑on‑year, creating a broadly supply‑constrained market environment. This tightening is especially visible for tropical origins where buyers seek reliable year‑round supply, keeping consistent interest in Vietnamese dried guava from Asian and higher‑income markets.

Globally, the broader mango–mangosteen–guava complex continues to grow, with OECD‑FAO projections indicating rising import quantities for these fruits over the medium term, especially into Asian markets such as China. While these outlook figures focus largely on fresh trade, they signal a structurally supportive consumption trend that indirectly benefits dried guava processors in Vietnam.

Weather & Crop Conditions (VN)

Short‑term weather in northern Vietnam is generally favorable for post‑harvest handling and drying. The national meteorological service’s 10‑day outlook for Hanoi shows mostly dry to partly cloudy conditions from 27–30 September, with daily highs around 32–34°C and limited rain. Independent international forecasts similarly indicate hot weather with only passing showers during 28–30 September.

These conditions are supportive for sun‑ or mechanically‑assisted drying operations, reducing risks of moisture‑related quality issues and helping processors maintain throughput. No typhoon or flood threats are indicated for the immediate three‑day horizon in the Hanoi region, so weather is not expected to materially disrupt supply or logistics for dried guava.

Fundamentals & Trade Flows

Recent trade intelligence places Vietnam among active exporters of processed tropical fruits, with guava appearing as one of the notable items within HS 2007 streams. Although dried guava remains a niche versus major dried fruits, its trade flows are increasingly integrated into broader tropical fruit assortments destined for Asia and selected Western markets.

At the same time, regional strategy analysis for Southeast Asian dried fruits underscores that demand growth is strongest for higher‑quality and cleaner‑label products, with international buyers increasingly favoring origins able to comply with strict food safety and quality certification regimes. Vietnamese processors that can align with these requirements are better positioned to capture premiums and secure longer‑term contracts, which in turn supports price resilience for dried guava.

Trading Outlook

• Short term (next 1–2 weeks): With FOB Hanoi at 5.4 EUR/kg and stable near‑term weather, prices are likely to remain in a narrow range around current levels. Upside catalysts would mainly come from stronger export enquiries or currency‑driven competitiveness shifts.
• For buyers: Consider covering near‑term needs at current prices, as the broader dried fruit market remains supply‑constrained and high‑quality Vietnamese offers could tighten into Q4 if global demand for tropical mixes stays firm.
• For sellers: Maintain offer discipline at or slightly above current indications where quality and certification justify it, but avoid aggressive hikes in the absence of clear new demand spikes, to protect volume and long‑term relationships.

3‑Day Directional Price Indication (VN)

• Vietnam – FOB Hanoi dried guava: Price level around 5.4 EUR/kg expected to hold over the next three days (28–30 September 2026), with a slight upward bias but no strong signal for immediate moves.