ICE Sugar No. 5 Prices Under Pressure: Short-Term Declines, Long-Term Stability
ICE Sugar No. 5 prices continue to decline, particularly for short-term contracts in 2025. However, long-term contracts (2026-2027) show relative stability with minimal price movements and slight gains for some.
Summary of Price Movements (Closing Prices in EUR/t):
- March 2025: €429.09 (-€7.27, -1.69%)
- May 2025: €429.55 (-€6.30, -1.35%)
- August 2025: €421.45 (-€4.51, -1.07%)
- October 2025: €420.90 (-€3.51, -0.83%)
- December 2025: €424.86 (-€3.13, -0.74%)
Long-Term Contracts (2026-2027):
- March 2026: €430.65 (-€2.85, -0.66%)
- May 2026: €434.52 (-€1.75, -0.40%)
- August 2026: €437.28 (-€1.01, -0.23%)
- October 2026: €437.92 (-€0.92, -0.21%)
- December 2026: €439.48 (-€0.37, -0.08%)
- March 2027: €441.51 (-€0.37, -0.08%)
- May 2027: €439.76 (-€0.37, -0.08%)
- August 2027: €439.58 (+€0.28, +0.06%)
- October 2027: €438.93 (+€0.28, +0.06%)
Market Developments and Key Factors
- Significant Declines for Short-Term Contracts:
- Prices for 2025 contracts (March to December) recorded substantial losses, ranging from -0.74% to -1.69%, reflecting continued oversupply and weak demand.
- Stabilization for Long-Term Contracts:
- Losses are much smaller for the 2026-2027 delivery periods. Some contracts, such as August and October 2027, even show slight gains of +0.06%.
- Trading Volume:
- The highest trading volumes were recorded for short-term contracts:
- March 2025: 10,773 units.
- May 2025: 8,132 units.
- Long-term contracts saw lower trading activity, indicating a more cautious stance among market participants.
- The highest trading volumes were recorded for short-term contracts:
Conclusion
ICE Sugar No. 5 prices remain under pressure, especially for short-term contracts in 2025. Long-term contracts exhibit relative stability, suggesting a cautious optimization of market dynamics. Market participants should closely monitor these developments and adjust their strategies accordingly. The sugar market remains volatile due to persistent price weakness and global uncertainties.
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