Sunflower Kernel Prices Steady – Market Well Supplied Amid Firm Oil Prices
The sunflower seed market remained stable on Wednesday. While oilseed markets showed strength, especially in soy oil and canola, sunflower kernel prices held steady amid abundant supply and weak European demand.
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Sunflower kernels
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FCA 1.00 €/kg
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Sunflower kernels
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99,98%
FCA 1.05 €/kg
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Sunflower kernels
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99,99%
FCA 1.08 €/kg
(from DE)
📊 Market Overview – Spot & FCA Prices (€/kg)
| Origin | Price (€/kg, FCA) | Change | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | €1.05 | ➡️ | Steady offers, prompt delivery |
| Bulgaria | €1.09 | ➡️ | Higher grade, well-sorted |
| Moldova | €1.06 + duty | ➡️ | Additional EU import cost |
The broader market shows no signs of tightness. European crushers are well covered through mid-summer, and contract activity is minimal.
🌍 Key Market Drivers
- Strong Oil Complex, But No Spillover
Soy oil and canola prices rose this week, but sunflower kernels remain disconnected due to oversupply. - No Crop Threats in Eastern Europe
Growing conditions in Ukraine, Moldova, and Bulgaria remain favourable, supporting expectations for another good harvest in 2025/26. - Slow EU Spot Activity
Industrial and retail demand in Germany, Benelux, and France remains quiet. Most buyers continue to delay Q3 positions.
💼 Trading Strategy & Outlook
Market remains structurally oversupplied. No immediate upside catalysts are visible unless oilseed prices spike further.
Recommendations:
– Importers: Continue a hand-to-mouth strategy
– Exporters: Secure long-term offtake only under flexible delivery conditions
– Traders: Watch sunflower oil premiums for early signs of rebound
📈 3-Day Price Forecast (Hulled Sunflower Kernels)
| Date | Ukraine (€/kg) | Bulgaria (€/kg) | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22 | 1.05 | 1.09 | ➡️ Stable |
| May 23 | 1.05 | 1.08–1.10 | ➡️ Sideways |
| May 24 | 1.05–1.06 | 1.09 | ➡️ Cautious |
🌦️ 14-Day Weather Outlook – Growing Regions
| Region | Trend | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 🌤️ Balanced | No stress, good planting progress |
| Bulgaria | 🌦️ Intermittent rain | Normal development for late May |
| Moldova | 🌤️ Dry & calm | Excellent planting and fieldwork conditions |
| South Africa | ☀️ Post-harvest | Domestic supply stable, no market impact |
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