Due to the ongoing drought since last autumn, the USDA expects the second-worst wheat harvest in North Africa in the last 7 years. The exceptional drought is affecting Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia, with production in the three countries collectively forecast to fall to 7.3Mt, down from 7.6Mt a year ago and 11.2Mt in 2021/22. With more area planted and slightly more rainfall, only Morocco’s harvest is expected to be larger at 3.8Mmt (2022/23 – 2.7Mmt), while Algeria’s will fall to 2.7Mmt (3.7) and Tunisia’s to 0.8Mmt (1.23).
Despite financial constraints due to cheaper energy prices (their main export), imports of wheat and other cereals in all three are expected to remain stable.
