North African Countries Face Decreased Productivity Due to Prolonged Drought

North African Countries Face Decreased Productivity Due to Prolonged Drought

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In its February bulletin titled “Global Prospects for North Africa,” the MARS agency highlights the substantial decrease in grain crop yields in North African countries attributed to dry weather conditions.

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Impact of Drought Across North Africa

Morocco

  • Productivity in most agricultural regions falls significantly below average, with minimal prospects for crop recovery.
  • Cereals are currently in an active developmental stage.

Algeria

  • Prolonged drought has led to delayed planting, particularly affecting western areas irreversibly, while the east and center witness a rapid vegetation recovery.

Tunisia

  • Autumn drought delayed sowing by 20-30 days; however, crops have swiftly recuperated, nearing average biomass levels.
  • Presently, plants are in the late stages of vegetation.

Libya

  • Despite sowing delays in north-western regions, weather conditions have been favorable or satisfactory for plant growth.
  • Cereal crops are now approaching the flowering phase.

Egypt

  • Nearly all grain-growing regions are in the flowering phase, with accumulated biomass exceeding average levels.
  • Favorable weather conditions and extensive irrigated arable land contribute to this growth.

Cereal Yield Projections

MARS forecasts

  • Morocco and Algeria are expected to see cereal yields 15-19% lower than the 5-year average.
  • Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt may experience cereal yields ranging from -3% to +3% compared to the 5-year average.

The bulletin underscores the necessity for adaptive measures in light of these projections to mitigate the impact of reduced productivity on agricultural economies in the region.

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