Beans Market Powers Ahead: Tight Supply, Firm Demand, and Volatile Weather Keep Prices Elevated

The global beans market, particularly the kidney beans segment, is experiencing heightened volatility amid tight supply and persistent demand. Over the past week, kidney bean prices have shown robust daily gains—approximately $0.06 per kg—driven by constrained availability. Key Indian producing regions such as Maharashtra and Karnataka have seen erratic rainfall affecting sowing activities, limiting arrivals and keeping pressure on prices. Traders in major southern markets like Pune are actively procuring, while anticipations of increased arrivals in the next 10–15 days provide hope for moderate price relief.

Still, with stock levels at retailers historically low and steady household consumption, the market is expected to remain bullish in the short term. Internationally, China’s strong export prices reinforce the global tightness, with the current quotes around $19.60–$19.80 per 100 kg. Domestic Indian rates continue to trek higher, for example, Rajma Chitra beans in Mumbai quoted at $15.60–$16.00 per 100 kg, and Delhi tracking close behind. Despite expectations of supply normalization in the coming months, the immediate outlook remains one of cautious optimism for sellers and a challenging landscape for buyers.

📈 Prices & Market Overview

Origin	Type	Price (USD/100kg)	Weekly Change	Market Sentiment
China	Kidney beans	$19.60–$19.80	+3%	Bullish
Mumbai (IN)	Rajma Chitra	$15.60–$16.00	+4.5%	Bullish
Delhi (IN)	Rajma	$10.80–$10.95	+4%	Bullish
India (avg.)	Kidney beans	$9.10–$9.40	+3.5%	Firm

Product	Origin	Location	Latest Price (EUR/kg)	Previous Price	Update Date	Offer Link
Kidney beans (dark red)	Brazil	Brasília	1.44	1.42	2025-07-19	View
Kidney beans (brown eye)	Brazil	Brasília	1.38	1.36	2025-07-19	View
Kidney beans (white, 99%)	UK	London	1.37	1.35	2025-07-19	View

🌍 Supply & Demand Drivers

• Supply constraints persist in India, especially in Maharashtra and Karnataka due to erratic monsoon and rainfall affecting sowing and arrivals.
• China’s export prices signal robust international demand and limited global stocks for kidney beans.
• Retailer stocks remain low, supporting price strength despite expected future arrivals.
• Procurement active in southern Indian markets, as traders seek to hedge against further price hikes.
• Moderate increase in arrivals anticipated in 10–15 days, but normalcy not expected until after a few weeks.
• Global demand steady for pulses and beans, particularly from importing nations in the EU, MENA, and Southeast Asia.

📊 Fundamentals & Global Comparisons

• Brazil remains a key supplier for dark red and brown eye kidney beans, with prices in EUR/kg continuing a modest upward trajectory.
• UK markets show similar strength for white kidney beans, though increase is less pronounced.
• China remains a price setter, due to its export heft and consistent demand.
• Importers in Africa and the Middle East are active amid volatile pricing, maintaining pressure on supply chains.

Country	Production (2024 est., ‘000 t)	Stocks (2024 est., ‘000 t)	Key Trends
China	1,250	265	Export strong, stocks tight
India	900	120	Short-term supply concern
Brazil	725	180	Good supply, strong exports
UK	180	40	Stable market, steady demand

☀️ Weather Outlook

• India (Maharashtra/Karnataka): Monsoon activity remains patchy, with 5-day forecasts indicating below-normal rainfall in major producing belts. Crop stress is likely to persist until improved precipitation arrives. Risk of continued late sowing and smaller yields if dry spell continues.
• China: Crop conditions generally favorable, though scattered storms could delay harvest in Heilongjiang and Jilin.
• Brazil: Stable weather aids upcoming harvest but watch for unexpected cold snaps in southern growing zones.
• UK: Mild summer helping pod set and fill, anticipated to support yields for white kidney bean segment.

📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations

• 🟢 For holders: Maintain a gradual selling strategy to maximize profits while monitoring supply uptick in next 2 weeks.
• 🟠 For buyers: Cautious short-term procurement advised; consider splits to hedge against persistent market strength.
• ⚠️ For traders: Watch for potential volatility if supply normalizes faster than anticipated or weather surprises shift acreage forecasts.
• 📊 Hedging: Exploit price differentials between origins (e.g., UK, Brazil vs China) and time shipments strategically according to weather and arrival flow.

🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast

Region/Exchange	Product/Class	Current Price	Forecast (3 days)	Trend
China (FOB)	Kidney beans	$19.70/100kg	$19.80–$20.00	⬆️ Slightly Bullish
Mumbai	Rajma Chitra	$15.80/100kg	$15.75–$16.10	⬆️ Bullish
Delhi	Rajma	$10.90/100kg	$10.85–$11.10	⬆️ Bullish
Brazil (Brasília, FOB)	Kidney beans, dark red	€1.44/kg	€1.45–€1.47	⬆️ Bullish
UK (London, FOB)	Kidney beans, white, 99%	€1.37/kg	€1.37–€1.39	➡️ Steady