The Ajwain (carom seed) market continues its nuanced upward trend as Unjha, the key trading center in India, registers a modest price increase. This positive momentum is primarily attributed to ongoing trader interest and constrained fresh arrivals, supporting current price levels. Top-quality ajwain now commands between $38.00 and $38.25 per 20 kg, while medium and lower grades hover just below these marks. Meanwhile, secondary markets such as Rajkot, Gondal, and Jamnagar also report stable-to-firm pricing, reflecting buoyant sentiment among stakeholders.
Moderate offtake from spice processors and steady retail interest further reinforce market stability. Supply, however, is being restricted by reduced arrivals, a situation likely to persist until the next harvest. In Saurashtra, with the kharif sowing season now complete and favorable weather, optimism surrounds the upcoming crop — signaling a possible easing of supply tightness in the months ahead. Nevertheless, sustained upward price moves will require either increased export inquiries or substantial bulk buying by major consuming centers. As the market awaits clearer cues, staying informed and agile will be critical for participants seeking to derive value from trading and procurement.
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📈 Prices
| Market | Quality | Price (per 20 kg) | Weekly Change | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unjha | Top | $38.00 – $38.25 | +$0.25 | Firm |
| Unjha | Medium | $37.60 – $38.00 | Unchanged | Stable |
| Unjha | Lower | $37.00 – $37.40 | Unchanged | Cautious |
| Rajkot | Mixed | $38.00 – $38.75 | N/A | Firm |
| Gondal | Mixed | $38.00 – $38.50 | N/A | Firm |
| Jamnagar | Mixed | $38.10 – $38.25 | N/A | Steady |
| Product | Grade | Purity | Location | Price (EUR/kg) | Change (EUR) | Offer Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajwain Seed | A | 99% | New Delhi, IN | €3.48 | -0.02 | View offer |
| Ajwain Powder | B | 99% | New Delhi, IN | €3.82 | -0.02 | View offer |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Trader and retail demand for ajwain remains stable, anchoring current price levels.
- Arrivals in major mandis are below average for the season, supporting a firm undertone.
- Spice processors are buying moderately, providing a steady base to demand.
- Export activity is sluggish, but new inquiries could spark price gains.
- Healthy crop prospects from Saurashtra (post kharif sowing completion) suggest supplies could improve if weather remains favorable.
📊 Fundamentals
- Inventory levels in Unjha remain tight due to low arrivals and robust offtake.
- Saurashtra’s crop development is rated good thanks to current favorable weather conditions.
- Bulk buyers have yet to enter the market aggressively; their actions could dramatically impact price trends in the coming weeks.
- Speculative interest appears moderate, with no significant new players entering the market.
☀️ Weather Outlook
- Recent meteorological data suggests continued favorable weather in key ajwain growing regions of Saurashtra and Rajasthan.
- Monsoon progress is normal, with no major drought or flood events anticipated for the next two weeks.
- Moisture conditions support robust upcoming yields, though late monsoon withdrawal or freak showers could delay the next round of arrivals.
🌏 Global Production & Stock Comparison
- India remains the world’s largest producer and exporter of ajwain, accounting for well over 85% of world output.
- Other producing countries (notably in the Middle East and North Africa) contribute marginally and have limited influence on global price discovery.
- Importing nations — especially in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and North Africa — monitor Indian crop and market developments closely.
🔮 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- ✔️ Short-term bullish for top- and medium-grade ajwain due to tight supply and steady demand.
- ✔️ Market participants should closely track export orders and trader demand in the coming fortnight.
- ✔️ Price dips may be limited unless a surge in arrivals or unexpected drop in demand materializes.
- ➡️ Buy on dips is a prudent strategy for processors and traders with forward sales obligations.
- ⚠️ Watch for weather updates and kharif crop arrivals in September-October that could impact supply chains significantly.
📆 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Market | Price Range (per 20 kg) | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Unjha | $38.05 – $38.35 | Steady to Firm |
| Rajkot | $38.10 – $38.80 | Steady |
| Gondal | $38.10 – $38.55 | Steady |
| Jamnagar | $38.15 – $38.30 | Steady |
