Bean Market August 2025: Stability Amid Tight Supplies and Moderate Demand

The global bean market in August 2025 is defined by a nuanced balance between tightening supplies and moderate demand. In China, key exporters and traders report diminished black bean inventories, with the majority of stocks already cleared out. A minority of traders holding premium beans continue to resist price reductions, firming their offers. Export demand has softened, keeping overall price volatility in check, although local fluctuations occur across bean varieties. Downstream processors are following a just-in-time buying approach and partially consuming their inventories. The market sentiment leans steady, with some potential for regional price strength—especially for high-quality beans. Weather in major growing regions, especially in China and Brazil, remains generally supportive of crop development, although traders are closely monitoring the onset of the next planting season and shifting rainfall patterns. Looking forward, the market outlook is for stable prices, with select premium categories holding firm or edging higher due to limited high-grade supply even as demand remains restrained.

📈 Prices

Commodity	Type	Origin	Location	Latest Price (EUR/kg)	Weekly Change	Date	Market Sentiment
Kidney beans	Dark red	BR	Brasília	1.45	0.00	2025-08-14	Steady
Kidney beans	Brown eye	BR	Brasília	1.39	0.00	2025-08-14	Steady
Kidney beans	White, 99%	GB	London	1.38	0.00	2025-08-14	Steady
Mung beans	Organic, 99.5%	CN	Beijing	1.59	+0.03	2025-08-13	Firm/up
Mung beans	3.8 mm up, 99.5%	CN	Beijing	1.48	+0.02	2025-08-13	Firm/up
Kidney beans	Small, black, organic	CN	Beijing	1.35	-0.02	2025-08-13	Soft
Kidney beans	Large, white, organic	CN	Beijing	3.33	+0.02	2025-08-13	Firm
Kidney beans	Dark red, organic	CN	Beijing	2.31	-0.02	2025-08-13	Soft
Kidney beans	Black	CN	Beijing	1.44	-0.02	2025-08-13	Soft

🌍 Supply & Demand Trends

• Chinese black bean inventories are low, with many traders having sold out and some holding premium lots for better prices.
• Export demand from China is subdued, narrowing room for price fluctuations.
• End users are buying as needed and continue drawing down inventories.
• Premium beans are quoted higher amidst overall tight supply.
• Brazil’s bean exports remain stable, and the upcoming planting season weather will be closely watched.

📊 Fundamentals & Market Drivers

• USDA Reports: Global bean inventories are trending lower for premium grades; overall stocks steady for common beans.
• Speculative Positioning: Limited speculative activity; commercial interests dominate.
• Trade Feedback: Chinese exporters expect localized firmness, especially for high-grade goods.
• Global Acreage: South American acreage expected stable; any major weather disruption will alter supply balances.
• Recent Trends: Overall beans market remains steady, with select upward momentum in organic and premium segments.

🌦️ Weather Outlook

• China (Northeast provinces): Weather has been generally favorable for late-summer beans; forecast shows stable temperatures and moderate rainfall, beneficial for maturing crops.
• Brazil (Paraná, Minas Gerais): Dry season continues with sufficient soil moisture; no significant delays for next planting anticipated at this stage.
• Risk Watch: Any late summer storms in China or drier-than-expected conditions in Brazil could impact late-season volumes and new crop expectations.

🌏 Global Production & Stocks Snapshot

Country	2024/25 Output (est.)	Stocks Trend	Notes
China	5.2m t	Lower	Poor export, low premium bean stocks
Brazil	3.6m t	Stable	Adequate supplies, stable trade
EU	1.1m t	Up	Good growing season
India	6.1m t	Stable	Firm domestic demand

📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations

• Expect steady to firm prices for premium beans due to low availability in China.
• Standard beans likely to remain stable as export demand is soft and inventories are mostly depleted.
• Watch for increased volatility if weather concerns materialize in China or Brazil.
• End users should consider incremental purchasing to cover needs through September, especially for premium beans.
• Sellers with remaining top-grade stock can afford to hold for potentially higher offers.
• Avoid speculative positions unless new weather data signals acreage or harvest risk.

🔮 3-Day Price Forecast

Commodity	Origin	Current Price (EUR/kg)	3-Day Forecast	Sentiment
Kidney beans, dark red	BR	1.45	1.44 – 1.46	Stable
Mung beans, organic	CN	1.59	1.58 – 1.60	Firm
Kidney beans, black	CN	1.44	1.44 – 1.46	Steady to slightly firmer
Kidney beans, large white	CN	3.23	3.23 – 3.27	Firm