This week has seen a remarkable surge in Ajwain prices across the key producing regions of Gujarat, India—particularly in Tharad (Banaskantha), Rajkot, and Unjha—fueling a wave of optimism and renewed trading activity. The single-week price increase of roughly $37 per tonne is primarily attributed to the combination of high-quality arrivals and significantly reduced inflows from major markets. Ajwain’s volatile movement is underpinned by an active buying spree from both domestic bulk traders and export buyers, further amplified by persistent reports of a shrinking sowing area and sustained demand from core sectors such as food processing and Ayurveda.
Notably, Rajkot witnessed medium-grade Ajwain shifting from $2,700 to $3,000 per tonne, while top-grade fetched up to $3,250. Unjha bulk trades topped out at $3,300, marking a trading corridor of $2,600–$3,300 per tonne. This bullish cycle appears set to persist, especially with only 700 bags reported this week in Unjha, far below historical averages. Weather patterns have turned favorable and are expected to support the upcoming crop, though short-term arrivals remain limited.Retail and bulk activity is robust, export inquiries are consistent, and the market remains tightly held by producers eyeing higher offers. With bullish undertones and a possible continuation of strong demand, Ajwain traders should brace for sustained high price levels, at least in the near future.
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Ajwain
Seed, grade - A
99%
FOB 3.50 €/kg
(from IN)
Ajwain
Powder, grade - b
99%
FOB 3.84 €/kg
(from IN)
📈 Prices
| Market | Grade | Price Range (USD/tonne) |
This Week Change | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajkot | Medium | $2,700 – $3,000 | +$300 | ↑ Bullish |
| Rajkot | Top | $3,000 – $3,250 | Stable / +$250 | ↑ Bullish |
| Unjha | Premium (Bulk) | up to $3,300 | +$37 | ↑ Strong |
| Location | Product | Grade | Purity | Price (EUR/kg) |
Previous | Update Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Delhi (FOB) | Ajwain Seed | A | 99%, organic | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2025-08-02 |
| New Delhi (FOB) | Ajwain Powder | B | 99%, organic | 3.84 | 3.84 | 2025-08-02 |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Arrivals: Only 700 bags reported in Unjha, indicating tight short-term supply.
- Supply Factors: Reduced arrivals from Tharad (Banaskantha) and shrinking sowing area.
- Demand: Strong demand due to food processing, Ayurveda industries, and export inquiries.
- Bulk/Export Activity: Premium paid for high-quality lots, particularly for export.
📊 Fundamentals
- Inventory Levels: Inventories remain low across major yards, driving up prices for good-quality produce.
- Speculation: Market players are bullish, anticipating further upward pressure if arrivals stay lean.
- Quality Premium: Premium grades attracting a $50–100/tonne advantage over medium grades.
- Market Spread: Range between $2,600 (lower grades) and $3,300 (highest export-quality) per tonne.
⛅ Weather Outlook
- Gujarat: Improved monsoon activity reported; key growing areas have received normal-to-above-normal rainfall, reducing immediate drought risk.
→ Most fields sufficiently irrigated for final crop growth, supporting yield potential. However, excess rains could affect quality if persistent. - Short-term Impact: No significant weather threat expected in main belts over the next week, favoring stable-to-strong yields for the remainder of the harvest season.
🌎 Global Production & Comparison
- India: Remains the dominant supplier globally. Lower sowing and erratic arrivals this season are supporting strong domestic and export prices.
- Other Producers: Minor quantities from Iran, Syria—but volumes and market impact negligible compared to India.
- Importers: GCC, Southeast Asia, and Europe see rising demand, particularly for clean, high-quality and organic lots.
📆 Outlook & Recommendations
- Short-Term: Prices are likely to remain firm amid tight arrivals, strong export buying, and low farm stocks.
- Bullish Factors: Limited arrivals expected to persist until next flush. Continued premium for top-quality lots.
- Bearish Risks: An unexpected surge in arrivals, sudden currency changes or weaker export demand could temper the uptrend.
- Market Participants: Buyers should cover near-term requirements promptly. Sellers could stagger sales for higher realization but monitor export/offtake closely.
- Traders: Watch daily arrivals and weather updates. Hold premium stock for potential further upside.
🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Region/Exchange | Current Price USD/tonne | Forecast (3 Days) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rajkot | 2,700 – 3,250 | 2,850 – 3,350 | ↑ Firm / Bullish |
| Unjha – Bulk | 2,800 – 3,300 | 2,950 – 3,375 | ↑ Bullish |
