Corn Slips After Holiday – Monday Prices Reflect Ongoing Weakness After Friday’s Risk-Off Sentiment
Corn futures started the week under pressure as Friday’s risk-off sentiment, driven by tariff fears and ample global supply, continued to weigh on markets. Monday trading resumed with minor losses across most contracts.
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📈 Updated Price Overview – as of Monday, May 27 (converted to EUR)
| Exchange | Delivery | Price (USD) | Change (vs Friday) | EUR/t (approx) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOT | Jul ’25 | 459.75 ct/bu | ▲ +0.25 ct | ~€160.6/t |
| Euronext | Aug ’25 | €203.50/t | = | €203.50/t |
Note: CBOT prices reflect Monday trading, while Euronext remained unchanged.
🔙 Friday Recap – Key Drivers Behind the Decline
- 🇺🇸 Trump’s new tariff threats against the EU fueled market concerns
- 💰 Profit-taking after a weekly gain of 19.5 ct/bu (▲4.4%)
- 🛑 Memorial Day weekend led to position squaring on Friday
- 🌍 IGC lifted 2025/26 global corn production by +3 Mt to 1.277 Bn t
- 🇫🇷 FranceAgriMer report (May 24):
- 87% of French corn rated good/excellent (−1 pp WoW, ▲4 pp YoY)
- 95% of the expected area is planted
- 🌧 Rainfall in Central & Western Europe improves crop outlook
- 🌦 More rain expected in the U.S. Midwest – supports yield development
- 📊 CFTC (May 20):
- CBOT corn net shorts rose by +18,234 to −103,210 contracts
💬 Market Commentary
The corn market closed lower on Friday as traders reacted to geopolitical risk and a fundamentally bearish supply picture. After reopening on Monday, prices showed slight fluctuations, with the July contract recovering 0.25 ct/bu to 459.75 ct/bu (~€160.6/t). The stable Euronext session suggests that much of Friday’s risk has already been priced in, though fundamental pressure remains.
💡 Trading Strategy
- 🎯 Monitor currency trends – a firm euro could weigh on Euronext’s competitiveness
- 🌍 Watch global supply data – IGC figures confirm strong fundamentals
- 📆 Tuesday’s USDA planting progress could trigger volatility
🔮 3-Day Price Forecast
| Market | Trend | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| CBOT | ▶️ Neutral | Range-bound ahead of USDA data |
| Euronext | ▼ Slightly Bearish | High supply + weak demand weigh on prices |
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