The mustard seeds market has entered a bullish phase, registering notable price advances driven by active buying from oil mills and persistent demand amid a slight dip in arrivals. In the current trading landscape, prices rose by $0.30–$0.35 per quintal, reflecting renewed optimism as processors increased procurement to cater to forthcoming festive-season consumption. Local market quotes, especially in key trading hubs like Jaipur, Alwar, and Bharatpur, indicate a firm price environment, further underpinned by moderate seed arrivals and an overall steady pace of crushing activity.
As the market anticipates heightened demand in the coming weeks, participants are closely watching supply-side signals—particularly daily arrivals and weather patterns that could influence seed quality and volumes. With international trade flows remaining stable and European offers holding moderately firm, the outlook for mustard seeds remains cautiously optimistic. However, a notable uptick in arrivals or adverse weather shifts could challenge the current price trajectory, making vigilant market monitoring essential for stakeholders.
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Mustard seeds
yellow, micro, sortex
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Mustard seeds
brown, micro, sortex
FOB 0.85 €/kg
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📈 Prices
| Location | Type/Grade | Price (USD/20 kg) | Weekly Change | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaipur | Standard | 18.85 | +0.25 | Firm |
| Alwar | Medium | 19.50 | +0.30 | Firm |
| Alwar | Top Quality | 20.00 | +0.30 | Firm |
| Bharatpur (Oil) | Processed | 155–157 (per 10 kg tin) | +0.20 | Firm |
🌍 International Mustard Seed Offers (EUR, FOB/FCA)
| Origin | Type | Purity | Location | Price (EUR/kg) | Change | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | Yellow, micro, sortex | 99.95% | New Delhi | 0.85 | 0.00 | 2025-09-12 |
| India | Yellow, bold, sortex | 99.95% | New Delhi | 1.01 | 0.00 | 2025-09-12 |
| India | Brown, micro, sortex | – | New Delhi | 0.85 | 0.00 | 2025-09-12 |
| India | Brown, bold, sortex | 99.95% | New Delhi | 0.78 | 0.00 | 2025-09-12 |
| Kazakhstan | Sinapis alba | 99.5% | Kiełczygłow (PL) | 0.73 | -0.02 | 2025-09-01 |
🌍 Supply & Demand Drivers
- Arrivals: 27,800 quintals reported across India, down from 33,000 quintals the previous day.
- Seed Supply: Farmer arrivals at mandis reached 14,313 quintals, with prospects for steady to moderate arrivals ahead.
- Demand: Ongoing buying from oil mills and ramp-up for festive-season procurement underpin a firm tone.
- Global Trade: Indian and Kazakh offers remain stable; minor price softening in Eastern Europe (Kazakhstan).
📊 Fundamentals & External Influences
- Speculative Positioning: Demand-side focus as end-users secure coverage; limited inventory-induced selling pressure.
- Market Mood: Positive, with dealers expecting steady to firm pricing as long as arrivals don’t rise sharply.
- Seasonal Demand: Approaching festival season is likely to lend support through demand from edible oil processors.
🌦️ Weather Outlook & Crop Prospects
- India (Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana): Recent weather has been favorable for standing crops with moderate temperatures and adequate soil moisture. Weather forecasts for the next week indicate stable conditions, supporting current yield potential.
- Kazakhstan & Eastern Europe: Dry patch easing, with scattered showers expected which may aid late crop development but are unlikely to boost yields significantly now.
- Impact: No significant weather threats seen short-term, supporting a steady market.
🌏 Production & Stock Snapshot
| Country | 2023/24 Production (est, ‘000 MT) | 2023/24 Ending Stocks (est, ‘000 MT) |
|---|---|---|
| India | 11,500 | 1,250 |
| Canada | 165 | 35 |
| Kazakhstan | 320 | 60 |
| EU | 620 | 85 |
📌 Market Drivers Recap
- Firm mill demand and moderate arrivals fuel local price gains.
- Global competitors mostly steady, with minor weakness in Eastern European origins.
- Weather outlook neutral-to-slightly positive for Indian crop yield prospects.
- Stocks remain adequate, with arrivals and festival demand in focus as critical watch factors.
📆 Trading Outlook & Strategy
- For Producers: Hold stock if possible and capitalize on further demand-driven rallies—price momentum remains healthy as arrivals stay moderate.
- For Buyers/Importers: Cover near-term requirements now as upside risk prevails ahead of peak festive demand.
- For Traders: Monitor daily arrivals and weather closely; consider quick trades as market could turn range-bound if arrivals surge.
🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Region/Hub | Expected Price Range (USD/20 kg) | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Jaipur | 18.80 – 19.10 | Steady/Firm |
| Alwar | 19.40 – 20.10 | Steady/Firm |
| Bharatpur (Oil) | 155 – 158 (per 10 kg tin) | Steady |
