The Nigella seeds market, known for its use in cuisines and increasingly as a core ingredient in the health and wellness sector, is showing sustained stability and robust growth as of August 2025. Internationally referred to as black cumin or kalonji, the commodity is in high demand, especially due to its expanding usage in nutraceuticals, dietary supplements, and cosmetics. Wholesale prices remain firm, driven largely by the surge in consumer awareness about the antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, and therapeutic qualities of Nigella seeds and their derivatives, notably black seed oil. The Indian market, a crucial global supplier, is witnessing stable prices around per quintal $234.89, with minor fluctuations across grades and locations. Global projections for black seed oil suggest a swift trajectory towards $53.33 million by 2030, hinting at further structural market strength.
India leads global production, joined by Turkey, Bangladesh, and Egypt in meeting this burgeoning demand. Although competition from other natural products and regulatory challenges regarding standardized dosage exist, exporters and producers are well-positioned to maintain momentum. Weather factors, crop output, and evolving consumer preferences will be key in shaping prices and supply consistency for the coming months.
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Nigella seeds
Machine Clean
99.80%
FOB 2.12 €/kg
(from IN)
Nigella seeds
Kalonji Sortex
99%
FOB 2.03 €/kg
(from IN)
Nigella seeds
Sortex
99.5%
FOB 2.25 €/kg
(from EG)
📈 Prices
| Origin | Product Type | Purity | Delivery | Location | Current Price (EUR/kg) | Last Price (EUR/kg) | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | Machine Clean | 99.80% | FOB | New Delhi | 2.12 | 2.12 | Stable/Positive |
| India | Kalonji Sortex | 99% | FOB | New Delhi | 2.03 | 2.03 | Stable |
| Egypt | Sortex | 99.5% | FOB | Cairo | 2.25 | 2.25 | Stable |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- India is the world’s primary producer and exporter, supported by Turkey, Bangladesh, and Egypt.
- Global demand is increasing rapidly in the pharma, nutraceutical, and personal care segments.
- Black seed oil market projected to reach $53.33 million by 2030 (CAGR 8.3%).
- Stable domestic supply in India; minor seasonal variations but good continuity of shipments.
- Growing consumer awareness of health benefits is boosting exports.
📊 Fundamentals
- Health and wellness trends remain the primary driver of demand.
- India: Prices average ₹204.41/kg (~$2.35), reflecting minimal volatility and healthy trading volumes.
- Alternative product competition and regulatory scrutiny on high-dose usage present moderate risks, but do not dampen current sentiment.
- Major importing regions include Europe, North America, and the Middle East, mainly for supplements and cosmetic products.
🌦️ Weather Outlook & Crop Impact
- India (Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh): Above-average monsoon in 2025 has boosted sowing area and crop health; yields expected to be strong barring late-season pests.
Rainfall across key producing regions is reported at or slightly above 10-year averages, reducing stress on the crop cycle and helping quality. - Turkey & Egypt: Mild, favorable early-summer conditions support stable yields; no significant drought or pest concerns as of August 2025.
- Short-term risk: Late-season heavy rainfall or flooding could affect harvest quality if monsoon patterns shift unexpectedly. Monitor weather forecasts for Rajasthan and upper Egypt in September.
🌏 Global Production & Stocks
| Country | 2024/25 Production (est.) | 2024/25 Stocks (est.) | Year-on-Year Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | ~90,000 MT | Moderate | ↑ Stable to rising |
| Turkey | ~38,000 MT | Steady | → Stable |
| Egypt | ~28,000 MT | Low | ↓ Slightly down |
| Bangladesh | n/a | Low | → Stable |
📌 Market Drivers
- Robust global demand for health-based applications.
- Positive USDA and export numbers from India sustain international shipment flows.
- Stable harvest in 2025, supported by favorable weather.
- Moderate speculative trading activity; most trade dominated by physical buyers/end-users.
📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- For Exporters: Maintain regular shipments; secure forward contracts as international demand appears resilient.
- Importers: Consider booking bulk contracts at current prices; price volatility risk is low but monitor weather.
- End-users (Food, Pharma): Build coverage for Q4 2025 to mitigate potential late-season weather disruptions.
- Speculators: Opportunity exists for stable returns; bullish bias valid short-term.
- Watch factors: Regulatory news on health claims and potential shifts in consumer preferences in Europe.
🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Market/Exchange | Current Price (EUR/kg) | 3-Day Forecast | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Delhi (IN, Machine Clean) | 2.12 | 2.12–2.15 | Stable to slight rise |
| New Delhi (IN, Kalonji Sortex) | 2.03 | 2.03–2.06 | Stable |
| Cairo (EG, Sortex) | 2.25 | 2.25–2.28 | Stable |