The onion market continues to struggle under downward price pressure, with today’s rates marking a notable decline. Despite a slight uptick in arrivals—totaling 13,000 quintals across key agricultural markets—buyer interest remains lackluster, and prices have accordingly softened by up to $3.10 per quintal compared to the previous session. Top-quality onions last traded at $39.10 per quintal, while medium grades fetched between $36.40 and $38.00 per quintal, and lower grades dropped further into the $26.50 to $30.10 range. Market sentiment is distinctly bearish, with traders observing that only a substantial jump in demand is likely to reverse the current trend. The muted price action is further compounded by a steady global supply and an absence of weather-related disruptions in main growing regions, leaving exporters and traders watching for any demand-side shakeup.
Amid these dynamics, processed onion product prices (such as powder and flakes) have also softened marginally, according to recent spot market data. For professionals and stakeholders, it’s a period to watch global demand cues, inventory signals, and potential seasonal effects, even as weather forecasts currently present little immediate threat to supply chains.
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Onions fried
crispy freid onions
FCA 3.42 €/kg
(from PL)
Onion powder
grade - B
FOB 1.29 €/kg
(from IN)
Onion powder
white
FOB 1.56 €/kg
(from IN)
📈 Prices
| Product | Origin | Location | Type | Delivery | Latest Price (EUR) | Previous Price (EUR) | Weekly Change | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onions fried | PL | Lodz | Crispy fried | FCA | 3.42 | 3.42 | 0.0% | View |
| Onion powder (Grade B) | IN | New Delhi | Powder | FOB | 1.30 | 1.33 | -2.3% | View |
| Onion powder (White) | IN | New Delhi | Powder | FOB | 1.57 | 1.60 | -1.8% | View |
| Onion powder (Organic) | IN | New Delhi | Powder | FOB | 2.65 | 2.68 | -1.1% | – |
| Onion flakes (Organic) | IN | New Delhi | Flakes | FOB | 5.13 | 5.15 | -0.4% | – |
| Fresh Onion | EG | Kairo | Fresh | FOB | 0.79 | 0.81 | -2.5% | – |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Arrivals: 13,000 quintals in major markets today, slightly up from previous sessions.
- Demand: Remains subdued, with buyers waiting and watching for lower prices or improved quality.
- Stocks: Ample supply reported across Indian and Egyptian markets; no notable shortages in major export destinations.
- Export Outlook: Indian and Egyptian onions remain competitively priced, though softer international demand is restricting upward price movement.
📊 Fundamentals & Market Drivers
- ➡️ USDA/Official Reports: No new major crop or inventory shocks; global stocks satisfactory.
- ➡️ Speculative Positioning: Commercial traders hold neutral to bearish outlooks due to slow export and domestic shipment pace.
- ➡️ Comparative Review: Last market report indicated similar themes: stable-to-weak prices, high arrivals, and demand lagging behind supply upticks. Current prices are even softer (down by up to $3.10 per quintal since last report), underlining persistent weakness.
🌦️ Weather Outlook
- India (Maharashtra, Gujarat): Weather remains generally favorable for post-harvest storage; no major storm or rainfall events expected in the next 7 days.
- Egypt (Nile Delta): Weather stable with mild temperatures and normal humidity, supporting ongoing trade flows.
🌎 Global Production and Stock Snapshot
| Country | 20XX Output (Mt) | Ending Stocks (Mt) | Export Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | ~24.0 | High | Top exporter |
| China | ~22.5 | High | Major exporter |
| Egypt | ~3.0 | Adequate | Key exporter |
| EU | ~7.5 | Stable | Moderate exporter/importer |
| Bangladesh | ~2.4 | Low | Net importer |
🔎 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- ⏳ Wait and Watch: Current sentiment remains weak; buyers may benefit from waiting for further dips.
- 🔄 Short-Term Trades: Lower-grade onions offer margins on quick trades due to wide quality price spreads.
- 📦 Inventory Management: Producers/exporters should monitor stocks and avoid overcommitting at current rates.
- 🕶️ Weather Monitor: Keep an eye on late-season weather risks, but no disruptions expected in the near term.
- 🚢 Exporters: Egypt and India should leverage price competitiveness to secure forward contracts, especially if demand picks up in Asia/MENA.
📆 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Exchange/Market | Commodity | Current (EUR/quintal) | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maharashtra, IN | Top-grade onion | 39.10 ($) | 38.80 | 38.50 | 38.30 | Bearish |
| Cairo, EG | Fresh onion (FOB) | 0.79 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.76 | Bearish |
| New Delhi, IN | Powder/Flakes (FOB) | 1.30–5.13 | 1.29–5.11 | 1.28–5.09 | 1.28–5.08 | Neutral/Bearish |
