The global mango market is showing dynamic shifts in 2025, with Taiwan emerging as a pivotal player in both fresh exports and value-added products. The country’s enhanced trade relationships and fruit innovation have caught international attention, especially as Japan takes the lead in purchasing Taiwanese mangoes. Between January and July 2025, Japan bought over 500 tons, accounting for the largest share by both volume and value. The United States and South Korea also featured as significant buyers, collectively supporting Taiwan’s robust mango export figures. Free trade agreements, evolving consumer preferences for tropical flavors, and Taiwan’s push into creative beverages such as fruity milk drinks add further momentum to market demand. However, the backdrop of shifting weather patterns in key mango-growing regions remains crucial for price direction and yield stability.
Meanwhile, the dried mango segment, with steady pricing from Vietnam and Thailand, reflects a balanced supply-demand scenario in processed products. Rising global brand recognition and strong international demand signal bullish market sentiment, although traders are keenly watching late-season weather developments and inventory flows.
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Mango dried
chunks: : 2 – 3 cm. Thickness: 2 mm. – 15 mm MOISTURE 13 – 19 %
FOB 5.62 €/kg
(from VN)
Mango dried
slices: 5 – 9 cm. Chunks: : 2 – 3 cm. Thickness: 2 mm. – 15 mm
FOB 5.85 €/kg
(from VN)
Mango dried
normal sugar, 8-10 mm
FCA 4.57 €/kg
(from NL)
📈 Latest Mango Prices
| Product | Origin | Location | Delivery | Price (EUR/kg) | Weekly Change | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mango dried (chunks 2–3 cm, 13–19% moisture) | Vietnam | Hanoi, VN | FOB | 5.62 | 0.00 | Stable |
| Mango dried (slices & chunks, 2–9 cm, 2–15 mm thick) | Vietnam | Hanoi, VN | FOB | 5.85 | 0.00 | Stable |
| Mango dried (normal sugar, 8–10 mm) | Thailand | Dordrecht, NL | FCA | 4.57 | 0.00 | Stable |
🌍 Supply & Demand Overview
- Japan is the largest buyer of Taiwanese mangoes in 2025 (Jan-Jul): 515 tons, US$5.08 million.
- USA ranks second: 463 tons, US$1.28 million; South Korea third: 141 tons, US$1.1 million.
- Total Taiwanese exports (Jan-Jul): 1,510 tons, US$8.95 million.
- 2024 total exports: 3,658 tons, US$16.18 million (Japan leads in value; Hong Kong leads volume).
- Growth in fruit beverage exports supports processed mango demand (notably by Spanish and Asian markets).
- Stable processed mango prices at origin suggest balanced supply with moderate demand growth.
📊 Market Fundamentals
- Japan’s dominance boosts overall export value for Taiwain, increasing market visibility and penetration.
- Rising consumer demand for mangoes in traditional and value-added forms (e.g., fruit milks and juices).
- Value-added products are gaining traction in foodservice and online retail sectors internationally.
- Supply-side stability due to steady yields, though weather risks remain an ongoing concern as harvest progresses.
- No significant week-over-week price fluctuations in dried mango segments indicate good inventory management.
🌤️ Weather Outlook & Impact
- Taiwan: Generally favorable conditions during the primary export window, though localized rainfall patterns in late July have been monitored for quality risk.
- Vietnam & Thailand: The upcoming late monsoon forecast signals above-average precipitation; potential uptick in disease risk but currently manageable. This supports stable to slightly bearish risk overall for processed exports if harvest unaffected.
- Global trend: ENSO-neutral phase persists, with no major disruptive weather events expected in key supply countries in the next 3 days, supporting firm near-term supply outlook.
🌐 Global Production & Stocks (Key Markets)
| Country | 2024 Exports (tons) | 2024 Export Value (US$ million) | 2025 YTD Exports (tons) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan (Fresh & Product) | 3,658 | 16.18 | 1,510 (Jan-Jul) |
| Japan (imports from Taiwan) | 753 | 5.56 | 515 |
| Hong Kong (from Taiwan) | 866 | N/A | N/A |
| USA (from Taiwan) | N/A | N/A | 463 |
| South Korea (from Taiwan) | 787 | N/A | 141 |
📆 3-Day Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Maintain current inventory levels for dried mango as stable prices and robust demand persist, especially from Japan and East Asia.
- Monitor late monsoon weather reports in Vietnam and Thailand—processing exporters may look to lock-in shipments for September delivery.
- Bullish short-term bias for fresh and processed mangoes to Japan and the USA; modestly positive for European and Korean buyers.
- Value-added mango beverages continue to gain traction; consider strategic partnerships in emerging markets for premium fruit-based drinks.
- Watch Taiwan’s export pipeline for the rest of Q3—any logistical delays or weather disruptions could trigger brief spot price rallies.
🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Product | Exchange/Location | Current Price (EUR/kg) | Forecast (3 Days) | Market Drivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dried Mango (VN, Chunks/Slices) | Hanoi FOB | 5.62–5.85 | Steady | Balanced supply, firm Asian demand |
| Dried Mango (TH, 8–10 mm) | Dordrecht FCA | 4.57 | Steady to slightly firmer | Stable supply, risk-premium for late monsoon |
