The Vietnamese mango market is experiencing a remarkable surge in 2025, driven by robust export growth, increasing international recognition, and favorable production conditions. In the first quarter of 2025, Vietnam’s mango exports generated over 88.5 million USD—a 15.9% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The share of mango exports in Vietnam’s total fruit exports also rose from 5.9% to 7.61% year-on-year, solidifying mango’s position just behind dragon fruit, durian, and bananas. Vietnamese mangoes are prized for their sweet flavor, thick flesh, and unique aroma, making them highly competitive in demanding markets such as Japan, the USA, and the EU. The country’s mango industry benefits from favorable natural conditions, high yields, low labor costs, and staggered harvesting periods compared to China’s Hainan and Guangxi regions, allowing Vietnam to fill supply gaps in the Chinese market. With over 114,000 hectares under cultivation and annual output exceeding 700,000 tons, Vietnam has become the 13th largest mango exporter globally. The recent successful entry into the US market, alongside continued dominance in China, underscores the growing global footprint of Vietnamese mangoes. As weather conditions remain generally favorable and demand continues to rise, the outlook for Vietnamese mangoes in both fresh and processed forms remains positive for the remainder of 2025.
Exclusive Offers on CMBroker
Mango dried
chunks: : 2 – 3 cm. Thickness: 2 mm. – 15 mm MOISTURE 13 – 19 %
FOB 5.67 €/kg
(from VN)
Mango dried
slices: 5 – 9 cm. Chunks: : 2 – 3 cm. Thickness: 2 mm. – 15 mm
FOB 5.90 €/kg
(from VN)
Mango dried
normal sugar, 8-10 mm
FCA 4.62 €/kg
(from NL)
📈 Prices
| Product | Origin | Location | Delivery Terms | Latest Price (USD/kg) | Previous Price (USD/kg) | Update Date | Weekly Change | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mango dried (chunks, 2–3 cm, 13–19% moisture) | Vietnam | Hanoi | FOB | 5.67 | 5.69 | 2025-05-23 | -0.35% | Stable/Soft |
| Mango dried (slices/chunks, 2–9 cm, 2–15 mm) | Vietnam | Hanoi | FOB | 5.90 | 5.92 | 2025-05-23 | -0.34% | Stable/Soft |
| Mango dried (normal sugar, 8–10 mm) | Thailand | Dordrecht, NL | FCA | 4.64 | 4.65 | 2025-05-23 | -0.22% | Stable |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Export Growth: Vietnam’s mango exports up 15.9% YoY in Q1 2025, now 7.61% of total fruit exports.
- Global Markets: Vietnamese mangoes are present in 30 countries, with strong demand in China, the USA, Japan, and the EU.
- Competitive Edge: Earlier harvest season than China’s Hainan and Guangxi regions allows Vietnam to supply China during off-peak domestic periods.
- Processed Mango: Dried and canned mango exports meet demand from strict markets, diversifying export portfolio.
📊 Fundamentals
- Production Area: Over 114,000 ha nationwide; Mekong Delta leads with 49,900 ha.
- Annual Output: 700,000–800,000 tons; Dong Thap province alone produces nearly 140,000 tons/year.
- Major Growing Regions: Son La, Dong Thap, An Giang, Dong Nai, and the Mekong Delta.
- Cost Advantage: Low labor costs and high productivity keep Vietnamese mango prices competitive.
📆 Weather Outlook & Crop Impact
- Current Conditions: Favorable weather in the Mekong Delta and main growing regions; minimal pest/disease pressure.
- Forecast: Seasonal rains expected to support fruit development. No significant weather threats reported for the next 3 days.
- Yield Impact: Stable to slightly higher yields anticipated for 2025 harvest, supporting export volumes.
🌐 Global Production & Stock Comparison
| Country | 2024 Production (tons) | 2025F Production (tons) | Stock/Export Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vietnam | ~750,000 | ~800,000 | 13th largest exporter; rising share in China, USA, EU |
| India | >20,000,000 | >20,000,000 | World’s largest producer/exporter |
| Mexico | 2,200,000 | 2,300,000 | Major exporter to USA |
| Thailand | 3,500,000 | 3,600,000 | Key regional competitor |
| China | 4,600,000 | 4,700,000 | Large producer, imports off-season |
📌 Market Drivers
- USDA & Official Reports: Strong export data and rising acreage support bullish fundamentals.
- Speculative Positioning: Stable prices and softening short-term trend suggest limited speculative activity.
- Global Inventories: Ample supply, but strong demand—especially from China and new US market entry—keeps outlook positive.
- Currency Fluctuations: Stable VND and USD exchange rates support export competitiveness.
🛠️ Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Buyers: Consider securing forward contracts as prices are stable and supply is robust, but rising demand may firm prices in H2 2025.
- Sellers: Leverage premium quality and early-season supply advantage for exports to China and the US.
- Traders: Watch weather developments and logistics in the Mekong Delta; monitor Chinese and US demand closely.
- Processors: Diversify product offerings (dried, canned) to tap into premium export markets.
⏳ 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Product | Origin | Current Price (USD/kg) | Forecast (Day 1) | Forecast (Day 2) | Forecast (Day 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mango dried (chunks, 2–3 cm) | Vietnam | 5.67 | 5.67 | 5.68 | 5.68 |
| Mango dried (slices/chunks) | Vietnam | 5.90 | 5.90 | 5.91 | 5.91 |
| Mango dried (normal sugar) | Thailand | 4.64 | 4.64 | 4.65 | 4.65 |
Vietnam’s mango market is poised for continued growth in 2025, with strong export momentum, competitive pricing, and expanding global reach. Watch for further price stability and incremental gains as the season progresses.