The Vietnamese mango market continues its upward trajectory in early 2025, driven by robust export demand, value-added processing, and expanding cultivation. In Q1 2025, Vietnam’s mango exports soared to over $88.5 million, reflecting a dynamic 15.9% increase year-on-year. This boost elevated mango’s share to 7.61% of total fruit and vegetable export revenues, underscoring its growing importance. The nation now ranks as the world’s 13th-largest mango exporter, serving over 30 countries, including mature markets like Japan, the US, and the EU.
Vietnamese mangoes are prized for their rich flavor profiles, low fiber, and high flesh content, with specialty varieties such as Cat Loc and Cat Chu making a particular impact in China. Off-season grower advantages, stringent certification (Vietgap & Globalgap) for 2,000ha in the Mekong Delta, and a focus on deep-processed products support both quality and export resilience. With cultivation exceeding 114,000 hectares and a governmental push to reach 140,000 hectares by 2030, annual output is poised for further gains. The expanded, diversified product range (fresh and dried), steady pricing, and government-back expansion plans suggest a fiercely competitive edge for Vietnam on the global stage. Market participants should closely watch for weather-driven yield swings and consumer trends in core markets.
Exclusive Offers on CMBroker
Mango dried
chunks: : 2 – 3 cm. Thickness: 2 mm. – 15 mm MOISTURE 13 – 19 %
FOB 5.67 €/kg
(from VN)
Mango dried
slices: 5 – 9 cm. Chunks: : 2 – 3 cm. Thickness: 2 mm. – 15 mm
FOB 5.90 €/kg
(from VN)
Mango dried
normal sugar, 8-10 mm
FCA 4.60 €/kg
(from NL)
Prices & Market Sentiment
| Product | Origin | Location | Delivery Terms | Latest Price (USD/kg) | 1W Change | Date | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mango dried (chunks 2–3 cm) | VN | Hanoi | FOB | 5.67 | 0% | 2025-06-05 | Stable |
| Mango dried (slices/chunks) | VN | Hanoi | FOB | 5.90 | 0% | 2025-06-05 | Stable |
| Mango dried (normal sugar, 8-10 mm) | TH | Dordrecht (NL) | FCA | 4.60 | -0.4% | 2025-06-05 | Softening trend (TH) |
Supply & Demand
- Export Growth: Q1 2025 mango exports: $88.5M, up 15.9% YoY; mango now 4th in fruit/veg export value for Vietnam.
- Main Export Markets: China (specialty varieties), US, Japan, South Korea, EU.
- Production Hubs: 114,000 ha mango area; 700,000–800,000 tons annual prod. Mekong Delta holds 49,900ha; Dong Thap province (14,000ha, 140,000 tons/yr).
- Process & Value-add: Deep-processed mango products increasingly supplement fresh exports—critical for Western and Japanese markets.
- Quality Certifications: ~2,000ha in Mekong Delta certified with Vietgap/Globalgap for strict importers.
Fundamentals & External Drivers
- Government Policy: Expansion to 140,000ha by 2030, projected output 1.5M tons/yr, target $650M in annual exports.
- Crop Yields: Steady yields but susceptible to weather and disease. Off-season production gives Vietnam key leverage vs. China.
- Market Entry: Stable prices for Vietnamese mango exports (5.67–5.90 USD/kg dried, FOB). Competing Thai mangoes are slightly cheaper but losing ground in EU on product differentiation.
- End-user Trends: Growing demand for healthy snacks and Asian flavors in EU and US stimulates dried/processed exports.
Weather Outlook & Crop Impact
- Mekong Delta & Dong Thap: Recent web-based meteorological data show typical monsoon onset conditions (localized flooding risk, but overall adequate rainfall).
- Short-Term Risks: Isolated thunderstorms and high humidity may elevate disease risk; vigilant field management is crucial for next 3 weeks.
- Yield Outlook: Baseline production targets expected unless severe unseasonal events occur.
Global Production & Exporter Comparison
| Country | Annual Production (MT) | Main Export Markets | Export Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | ~23,000,000 | Gulf, Europe | 1 |
| Mexico | ~2,200,000 | US, Canada | 2 |
| Thailand | ~3,500,000 | Asia, EU | 6 |
| Vietnam | ~1,000,000 | China, US, EU, Asia | 13 |
Market Insights & Recommendations
- Strong upward trend in export value and stable prices support medium-term bullish outlook on Vietnamese mango products (especially processed conversions).
- Monitor Mekong Delta weather closely; diseases could affect quality and volumes for remainder of 2025.
- Chinese demand for off-season, specialty varieties provides premium; diversify into high-value processed products for Western markets.
- Certification expansion (Vietgap/Globalgap) provides access to premium markets—consider partnerships to improve traceability and branding.
- Price stability in Vietnam vs. minor dips in Thai dried mangoes may strengthen VN’s export position in the EU/US summer.
3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Product | Location | Current Price (USD/kg) | Forecast (USD/kg) | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mango dried (chunks) | Vietnam (Hanoi) | 5.67 | 5.70 | Stable/Bullish |
| Mango dried (slices/chunks) | Vietnam (Hanoi) | 5.90 | 5.92 | Stable |
| Mango dried (normal sugar) | Netherlands (TH origin) | 4.60 | 4.58 | Soft |