Buyers have gotten used to record low prices the past few years. And strong kernel shipments towards the end of 2022 crop shows that the low prices for poor quality works in Europe and USA markets. Question is will buyers pay slightly higher prices for extremely good quality?
Are prices sustainable?
California suppliers are attempting to keep prices at least at the breakeven point for growers. They may have some early success, especially with the excellent quality of this year’s crop. Time will tell if prices will stick over time with China being aggressive, especially to inshell markets. One thing is for certain, the prices for the last 2 years are not sustainable, they were well under the price of growing, and even at today’s levels prices are still cheap for the growers. The Strong US Dollar is not assisting us either.
September shipments: The September 2023 Walnut shipments were +35,694 tons in 2023 versus 30,906 tons in September 2022 on an inshell equivalent, for an increase of 13.5%
DOMESTIC/ USA | EXPORT |
September 2023 shipments versus 2022 shipments on an inshell equivalent are up +21.3% | September 2023 shipments versus 2022 shipments on an inshell equivalent were down -11.4%. Delayed harvest is a part of the decrease. |
Key Markets-Shipments to date
Türkiye: inshell down -47.79%
UAE: inshell- no shipments in September
Germany: kernels up 131.25%
Middle East/Africa: inshell down 56.66%
Europe: kernels up 86.23%