Brazil nut prices in the Netherlands are holding steady, with no immediate sign of either a breakout rally or a sharp correction. Firm export demand from Brazil and a broadly supportive global nut market underpin current levels, but local wholesale quotations in the Dutch hub remain stable in the very short term.
In the Dutch market, medium-grade conventional Brazil nuts in Dordrecht are indicated around EUR 6.5/kg FCA, unchanged over the past month. This flat price pattern contrasts with strong value growth in Brazil’s export sector, where early‑2026 shipments have already exceeded recent years, supported by higher dollar prices and expanding shelled‑nut sales into Europe and other premium markets. At the same time, broader nut exports from origins such as South Africa are rising, confirming robust underlying demand for tree nuts despite consumer inflation pressure in Europe. Near-term price risk in the Netherlands appears balanced, with weather conditions neutral and logistics operating normally.
Exclusive Offers on CMBroker
Brazil nuts
medium
FCA 6.50 €/kg
(from NL)
📈 Prices & Market Tone
The Dutch wholesale market for Brazil nuts currently trades around EUR 6.5/kg FCA Northwest Europe for medium grades, with indications for Dordrecht unchanged over the last several weekly assessments. This aligns with external spot indications that Brazil nut quotations around EUR 6.5/kg FCA in Northwest Europe are expected to remain stable in the very short term.
Globally, Brazil nut export prices have strengthened markedly at origin. In early 2026, in-shell Brazil nut export prices from Acre, Brazil increased to about USD 2.91/kg, while shelled product fetched roughly USD 14.30/kg, reflecting strong international demand and higher value capture for processed nuts. These higher upstream prices have so far been absorbed without pushing Dutch wholesale levels significantly higher, suggesting comfortable inventory cover and competitive pressure among European importers.
🌍 Supply, Demand & Trade Flows
On the supply side, Brazil’s Acre region reports a sharp acceleration in Brazil nut exports in early 2026, with export revenue of about USD 6.5 million in the first two months already surpassing the total of 2023 and accounting for more than half of 2025 levels. The export profile remains dominated by in-shell nuts, but shelled volumes to Europe, Asia and the Middle East are growing, improving availability for kernel buyers in the EU.
Beyond Brazil nuts, the broader global nut complex is buoyant. South Africa, for example, has seen its combined fruit and nut exports climb 13.3% year-on-year to USD 2.7 billion in the first half of 2025, driven by rising demand for healthy snacks and plant-based proteins. Recent commentary notes sustained expansion prospects for the global nuts market, reinforcing a firm demand baseline for Brazil nuts used in snacking mixes and confectionery. At the same time, elevated cocoa prices in recent years have contributed to higher chocolate and nut product prices in Europe, though recent cocoa market softness may now be stabilising downstream nut demand rather than dampening it.
📊 Fundamentals & Cost Context
Stronger export prices in Brazil indicate a significant margin between farm-gate and FOB prices. Collectors in Acre reportedly received about USD 0.90/kg during the 2025/26 crop, while in-shell export prices reached USD 2.91/kg and shelled exports USD 14.30/kg in 2026. This spread reflects processing, logistics and marketing costs but also signals that any further tightening in raw nut supply could quickly transmit to European wholesale prices if stocks are drawn down.
At the same time, analysis of EU and global nut trade highlights structural growth prospects: the global tree nut market is expected to expand further over the coming years as consumers favour nutrient-dense, convenient foods and plant-based proteins. For Dutch buyers, this suggests that current flat prices are occurring against a fundamentally firm demand backdrop, making significant downside in Brazil nut prices less likely unless there is a notable improvement in harvest size or logistical costs.
🌦 Weather & Logistics Outlook (NL)
For the coming three days around the Rotterdam–Dordrecht logistics corridor, forecasts point to typical early‑April conditions: mild temperatures roughly in the mid‑single to low‑teens Celsius, scattered clouds and only limited rainfall episodes. Winds are forecast to remain moderate and no disruptive storms are indicated. These conditions are benign for port and warehouse operations and should not materially affect transport, loading or unloading of containerised nut shipments.
Because Brazil nuts consumed in the Netherlands are fully imported and already harvested, short‑term Dutch weather mainly matters for logistics efficiency rather than crop development. With neutral conditions and no significant disruptions reported at nearby ports, the physical flow of Brazil nuts into and within the Netherlands is expected to continue smoothly, supporting the current stable price environment.
📆 Short-Term Price Outlook & Strategy
- Price direction (3–5 days): Sideways. External market commentary explicitly signals stable Brazil nut quotations around EUR 6.5/kg FCA Northwest Europe in the very short term, consistent with unchanged Dutch indications.
- Upside risks: Further appreciation in Brazilian export prices or sudden tightening of EU importer stocks could lift Dordrecht spot offers, particularly for higher grades or certified lots.
- Downside risks: Any short‑term softening in global nut demand or increased competition from alternative origins may trigger marginal discounts, though strong underlying consumption limits deep price corrections.
🧭 Trading Recommendations (Very Short Term)
- Buyers (roasters, packers, snack producers): Use current flat prices to cover nearby needs and part of Q2 requirements, but avoid over‑stocking given the absence of immediate supply stress.
- Importers/wholesalers: Maintain balanced inventories; consider locking in replacement volumes from Brazil where margins against Dutch FCA levels remain acceptable, watching closely for any further increase in export prices from Acre.
- Sellers: Hold offer levels near EUR 6.5/kg FCA for standard medium grades; use selective discounts only to move ageing lots, as demand signals remain constructive.
📍 3-Day Regional Price Indication (EUR)
| Region / Hub | Product | Delivery Basis | Price Range (Next 3 Days) | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht (NL) | Brazil nuts, medium, conventional | FCA | EUR 6.4 – 6.6/kg | Stable / Sideways |
