Chinese pine nut FOB prices in Dalian are stable with only marginal recent softening, as buyers and sellers pause ahead of clearer indications on 2025/26 supply and export demand. Weather in Liaoning is seasonally cool but generally benign, offering no immediate threat to existing inventories or near‑term logistics.
The pine nut market around Dalian continues to trade in a narrow band, with limited volatility compared to other tree nuts. Chinese processors still anchor global supply, drawing raw material from domestic forests and neighboring origins such as Russia and Mongolia, keeping export channels well supplied despite structural tightness in some other producing regions. Short‑term, macro headwinds for Chinese exports keep overseas demand cautious, but current price levels remain competitive in euro terms against broader nut prices. With April weather in Liaoning mild and largely dry, the physical flow of goods through Dalian ports should remain smooth in the immediate future.
[cmb_offer ids=657,658,658]
📈 Prices
FOB Dalian offers for Chinese pine nuts are currently assessed around EUR 14.9–15.6/kg (converted from USD), with 950‑count material at the upper end and 1200‑count slightly lower. This reflects a broadly flat market over recent weeks, with only minor downticks earlier in April and no follow‑through selling pressure since then. Compared with indicative wholesale nut prices for China as a whole, pine nuts remain in the premium segment but do not show signs of an active price spike or collapse.
| Grade (CN, FOB Dalian) | Latest level (EUR/kg) | 1-week trend | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pine nuts 950 | ≈ 15.6 | Stable | Premium grade, no visible fresh buying wave |
| Pine nuts 1200 | ≈ 15.0 | Stable / slightly softer vs late March | Lower size, competitive for price‑sensitive demand |
🌍 Supply & Demand
China remains the central hub of global pine nut processing and exports, sourcing raw cones from across northern China and neighboring countries such as Russia and Mongolia before cleaning and shipping via ports like Dalian. Recent coverage of the industry highlights ongoing investment in smaller inland processing hubs, which strengthens China’s capacity to collect and consolidate raw material from a wide catchment area and maintain stable export flows.
On the demand side, global tree nut consumption is facing some macroeconomic headwinds, as China’s own export sector shows softer momentum and buyers in Europe and North America stay cost‑conscious. While this affects volume growth, the relatively niche status of pine nuts means that foodservice and industrial buyers typically prioritise continuity of supply and quality over aggressive price negotiation, limiting downside pressure at current levels. Broader nut price benchmarks in China indicate that the nut complex is not experiencing extreme price stress at present, supporting the idea of a range‑bound pine nut market.
📊 Fundamentals & Weather
Structurally, international statistics point to a tighter global pine nut balance sheet in 2025/26 compared with previous years, with China still accounting for the bulk of production and trade. Nonetheless, relatively comfortable beginning stocks in China cushion near‑term availability and help explain the current calm in FOB Dalian price indications.
In the very short term, weather in Liaoning – including the Dalian area – is seasonally cool, with daytime temperatures generally in the low to mid‑teens °C and a mix of cloud and scattered showers over the coming two to three days. Forecasts show no extreme rainfall or strong winds that would disrupt port operations or inland logistics, and April climatology for Dalian supports smooth transport conditions with gradually lengthening daylight hours. As a result, logistics‑driven price spikes linked to weather appear unlikely in the immediate horizon.
📆 Trading Outlook
- For importers in Europe and MENA: Current EUR‑converted FOB Dalian indications are historically moderate for pine nuts; consider covering near‑term needs (1–2 months) while the market is quiet, but avoid over‑extending coverage until clearer signals on 2025/26 crop prospects emerge.
- For Chinese exporters and processors: With weather benign and logistics stable, focus on locking in medium‑term contracts with key customers, emphasising reliability of Chinese supply as other producing regions grapple with structural constraints.
- For traders and distributors: Price ranges suggest limited downside in the very short term; tactical buying on any small dips could be attractive, but large speculative long positions seem premature before there is more concrete information on the next harvest and on global demand recovery.
📉 3‑Day Regional Price Indication (CN, FOB Dalian)
- Pine nuts 950: Stable around ≈ EUR 15.6/kg FOB Dalian over the next three days, with a neutral to slightly firm tone on any uptick in export inquiries.
- Pine nuts 1200: Stable around ≈ EUR 15.0/kg FOB Dalian, with limited room to drift lower given steady supply and absence of aggressive selling.
- Overall CN pine nut market: Sideways in the very short term, with weather and logistics in Liaoning not expected to drive price changes before mid‑week.
[cmb_chart ids=657,658,658]
