Chickpeas Market Surge: Analyzing the Impact of Reduced Production and Supply Constraints

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📈 Chickpeas Market Surge: Analyzing the Impact of Reduced Production and Supply Constraints

The chickpea market is poised for a significant uptick following a series of production setbacks across key growing regions. Recent data indicates a substantial decrease in Desi gram arrivals and a near depletion of Australian stocks at Mundra Port, signaling tighter supplies ahead. This report delves into the current dynamics of the chickpea market, examining the latest price movements, fundamental drivers, and the potential impact of weather conditions on future harvests.

Mintec Global

📊 Market Overview

Type Price (USD) Previous Price (USD) Location
Count 75-80, 8 mm 1.37 1.37 Mexico City
Count 42-44, 12 mm 1.85 1.85 Mexico City
Count 60-62, 8 mm 1.44 1.44 New Delhi
Count 58-60, 9 mm 1.44 1.44 New Delhi
Count 46-48, 10 mm 1.49 1.49 New Delhi
Count 44-46, 11 mm 1.5 1.5 New Delhi
Count 42-44, 12 mm 1.51 1.51 New Delhi

📉 Key Market Drivers

  • Significant drop in Desi gram arrivals and Australian stock depletion.
  • Decreased production in major producing states due to early summer onset and financial constraints in the market.
  • Reduced supply from key regions in India and less purchasing by local mills.

⛅ Weather Forecast – Key Growing Regions

The early onset of summer has adversely affected chickpea crops, particularly in Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka, with reports indicating a 28-30% reduction in supply. The weather outlook remains challenging, with higher temperatures potentially exacerbating the situation.


🔮 Price Forecast – Next 3 Days

Date Expected Price Range (USD)
2025-04-27 1.35-1.55
2025-04-28 1.36-1.56
2025-04-29 1.37-1.57

📌 Conclusion & Strategic Recommendations

  • 🛒 Buyers: Monitor the market closely for potential price increases and secure supplies early.
  • 🏭 Sellers: Capitalize on the current market conditions to negotiate better terms on forward contracts.
  • 📊 Traders: Keep an eye on weather reports and production updates, as these will drive market dynamics in the near term.