The Indian garlic market is experiencing pronounced firmness in price trends, supported by the combined effect of improved supply quality and steady demand across key growing regions. Better-grade garlic is fetching higher bids, attracting farmer interest and leading buyers to pay premiums for top-quality lots. At the Indore Chandan Nagar market, medium-quality garlic is quoted at $2.50–$6.00 per 20 kg, with premium reaching $7.00 per 20 kg, indicative of robust competition for superior lots. Elsewhere, Neemuch sees premium lots at $6.00, while Lasalgaon leads with the highest quoted price of $7.20 per 20 kg.
These positive price levels come amid daily arrivals of roughly 300 trucks in Madhya Pradesh—suggesting ample but highly competitive trade. Observers anticipate continued price resilience if supply quality remains high, though any surge in lower-grade offerings could cap upside. For global traders, notable opportunities exist, with Indian organic garlic powder priced at €6.59/kg FOB New Delhi and Egyptian fresh garlic at just €0.98/kg FOB Cairo—showing competitive diversity in origins and grades.
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Garlic
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FOB 6.59 €/kg
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Garlic
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FOB 0.98 €/kg
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📈 Latest Garlic Prices at Major Markets
| Location | Quality | Price Range (per 20kg) | Currency | Change (WoW) | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indore (Chandan Nagar) | Medium | $2.50 – $6.00 | USD | +3% | Firm |
| Indore (Chandan Nagar) | Premium | $7.00 | USD | +2% | Strong |
| Neemuch | Medium | $2.50 – $4.80 | USD | +2% | Firm |
| Neemuch | Premium | $6.00 | USD | +2% | Strong |
| Lasalgaon | All | $2.40 – $7.20 | USD | +4% | Very Firm |
| Origin | Type | Organic | FOB Location | Price (kg) | Last Price | Change | Currency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | Powder | Yes | New Delhi | €6.59 | €6.57 | +0.3% | EUR |
| Egypt | Fresh | No | Cairo | €0.98 | €0.95 | +3.1% | EUR |
🌍 Supply & Demand Drivers
- 👍 Improved quality arrivals in all major Indian markets supporting firm prices.
- 🚚 ~300 trucks/day of arrivals in Madhya Pradesh alone, showing ample yet competitive supply.
- 📈 Consistent demand from traders and processors, especially for export-oriented premium lots.
- 🔎 Buyers increasingly focus on better grades, driving higher premiums for top-quality garlic.
- 🌐 Competitive global supply with Indian and Egyptian export offers reflecting diverse market pricing.
📊 Market Fundamentals & External Influences
- USDA outlook: India’s garlic output remains above medium-term average, aided by improved cultural practices and yield enhancements.
- Madhya Pradesh, India’s largest garlic producer, benefits from optimal post-harvest weather, helping maintain quality.
- Speculative interest: Stable, as fundamentals dominate short-term price action.
- Global inventory: China—world’s largest supplier—has steady stocks, but rising domestic prices boost Indian export competitiveness.
☁️ Weather Outlook for Key Regions
- 🇮🇳 Central & Western India: Main garlic belts in Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra are experiencing clear, warm conditions. Low risk of excess moisture—ideal for post-harvest storage and quality retention.
- 🌦️ Short-term forecast: No significant rainfall expected in main Indian producing states (Indore, Neemuch, Lasalgaon) for the next 3 days; favorable for market arrivals and prevents spoilage.
- 🇨🇳 China: Normal late summer conditions, no major weather disruptions reported in key producing provinces.
🌐 Global Production & Stocks Comparison
| Country | 2024/25 Forecast Production (mt.) | 2024 Stocks (mt.) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | ~22.5 million | High | Dominates global exports; stable pricing |
| India | ~1.6 million | Low/Moderate | Strong domestic demand, growing exports |
| Egypt | ~0.6 million | Moderate | Key global supplier, competitive pricing |
| Spain | ~0.3 million | Low | Premium-quality, mainly EU market |
🧭 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Buyers: Secure prompt lots of premium and medium Indian garlic; expect sustained firmness if arrivals stay of good quality.
- Sellers: Consider releasing top-quality inventory; take advantage of the premium for superior grades in active markets.
- Monitor weather and daily arrival volumes—any uptick in inferior quality could soften the market.
- Exporters: Indian organic powder and Egyptian fresh garlic both offer price advantages; analyze margin options based on end-market demand.
- Speculators: Maintain cautious stance—fundamental-driven rally may plateau if supply surges or foreign competition undercuts prices.
📆 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
- Indore (Chandan Nagar): $2.60–$7.10/20kg USD (steady to firm)
- Neemuch: $2.60–$6.10/20kg USD (steady)
- Lasalgaon: $2.50–$7.25/20kg USD (firm, premium sought)
- New Delhi (FOB, organic powder): €6.55–€6.65/kg (stable)
- Cairo (FOB, fresh): €0.98–€1.02/kg (slight upside)