The onion market has recently entered a phase of stabilization following a period of sharp price surges witnessed immediately after the Diwali festival. In major trading centers such as Dungli, Rajkot, and Madhupur, onion prices that had previously spiked have now settled, primarily due to a resurgence of arrivals and more balanced demand patterns. Markets experienced a pronounced influx of onions, with daily arrivals ranging from 900 to 1,000 metric tons, yet prices have held firm thanks to consistent wholesale and retail demand.
Traders report that the festive-driven rush that propelled prices to their highs earlier in the week has subsided, leading to a steadier market tone. As harvest volumes flow into the markets and supply-side constraints ease, stakeholders are adapting to this period of equilibrium. Weather outlooks in key growing regions remain favorable, supporting robust inflows, while market participants anticipate that the stability will persist in the short term unless external shocks—such as adverse weather or policy changes—intervene. With steady trading in both regional and national markets, the outlook for onions is marked by cautious optimism, with market sentiment reflecting confidence in sustained balance between arrivals and demand.
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Onions fried
crispy freid onions
FCA 3.42 €/kg
(from PL)
Onion powder
grade - B
FOB 1.31 €/kg
(from IN)
Onion powder
white
FOB 1.58 €/kg
(from IN)
📈 Prices
| Market | Product Type | Price (INR/100kg) | Price (€/ton) | Weekly Change | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungli | Fresh | ₹3,200–₹3,600 | €384–€432 | Stable | Neutral |
| Rajkot | Fresh | ₹3,600 | €432 | Stable | Neutral |
| Madhupur | Fresh | ₹3,100–₹3,500 | €372–€420 | Stable | Slightly Firm |
| Product | Origin | Type | Latest Price (€/kg) | Previous Price (€/kg) | Update Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onions fried | PL | Crispy fried | 3.42 | 3.42 | 2025-10-07 |
| Onion powder | IN | Grade – B | 1.31 | 1.31 | 2025-10-03 |
| Onion powder | IN | White | 1.58 | 1.58 | 2025-10-03 |
| Onion powder (organic) | IN | Powder | 2.66 | 2.66 | 2025-10-03 |
| Onion fresh | EG | Fresh | 0.80 | 0.80 | 2025-10-03 |
| Onion flakes (organic) | IN | Flakes | 5.15 | 5.15 | 2025-10-03 |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Arrivals: Dungli and neighbouring markets reported 900–1,000 MT/day; steady flows support stable prices.
- Demand: Remained robust at both the retail and wholesale levels after the festival-driven buying spree waned.
- Regional Trends: Rajkot mirrored the broader trend with steady arrivals and stable prices; Madhupur saw similar dynamics. No significant bottlenecks reported in logistics or distribution.
📊 Fundamentals & Market Drivers
- Prices surged post-Diwali but steadied with increased arrivals.
- Farmers responded to strong prices by expediting market arrivals, adding to available supply.
- No major export bans or trade restrictions currently impact the Indian market; Egypt supplies remain consistent at attractive FOB prices (€0.80/kg).
- Speculative activity has cooled, and futures markets show limited volatility.
⛅ Weather Outlook
- Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Gujarat—the top Indian onion-producing states—are experiencing favorable weather, supporting healthy crop inflow and quality.
- No adverse forecasts for the next 7 days; risk from unseasonal rains is low.
- Stable weather is expected to encourage further arrivals, keeping pressure off prices.
🌐 Global Production & Stock Comparison
| Country | Production (MT, latest) | Stocks/Availability | Trade Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | 25M | Seasonally high | Major exporter |
| China | 24M | Stable | Exporter |
| Egypt | 3M | Good | Stable |
| EU | <6M | Seasonal | Mixed (importer/exporter) |
📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- For buyers: Consider making purchases at current stable prices, as upside risk from supply shocks is minimal short-term.
- For sellers: Hold if possible, as no strong downside is forecast and robust demand is preventing rapid price drops.
- For traders: Monitor weather patterns closely; any sudden unseasonal rain could disrupt arrivals.
- Industry: Diversification towards powder and processed onions may offer better margins given current spreads.
🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Market | Current Price (INR/100kg) | Forecast (INR/100kg) | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dungli | ₹3,200–₹3,600 | ₹3,150–₹3,650 | Stable |
| Rajkot | ₹3,600 | ₹3,550–₹3,650 | Stable |
| Madhupur | ₹3,100–₹3,500 | ₹3,100–₹3,550 | Stable/Firm |
