Beans Market Analysis: Tight Supply Keeps Prices Firm Amid Stable Demand

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The global beans market is currently characterized by tight supply and generally firm prices, especially in major exporting countries such as China and the UK. According to recent market observations, UK red kidney bean prices have remained stable this week, primarily due to limited remaining supplies and the fact that new crop arrivals are still about four months away.

This supply constraint is expected to keep overall bean prices well-supported, with only a few varieties experiencing balanced supply and demand. Both domestic and export demand for beans remain steady, with most transactions occurring on a spot basis. Market participants are therefore advised to monitor local inventories and upcoming crop progress closely, as any weather-related disruptions could further tighten the market.

📈 Prices

Product Type Origin Location FOB Price (USD/kg) Prev. Price Weekly Change Update Date Sentiment
Mung beans Organic CN Beijing 1.45 1.47 -0.02 2025-05-27 Stable
Mung beans 3.8 mm up CN Beijing 1.37 1.38 -0.01 2025-05-27 Stable
Kidney beans Small, black, organic CN Beijing 1.52 1.50 +0.02 2025-05-27 Firm
Kidney beans Large, white, organic CN Beijing 3.41 3.39 +0.02 2025-05-27 Firm
Kidney beans Large white CN Beijing 3.32 3.30 +0.02 2025-05-27 Firm
Kidney beans Dark red, organic CN Beijing 2.43 2.45 -0.02 2025-05-27 Stable
Kidney beans Dark red CN Beijing 2.35 2.32 +0.03 2025-05-27 Firm
Kidney beans Black CN Beijing 1.47 1.45 +0.02 2025-05-27 Firm
Adzuki beans Red, organic, 5.0 mm up CN Beijing 1.50 1.53 -0.03 2025-05-27 Stable
Adzuki beans Red, 5.0 mm up CN Beijing 1.43 1.46 -0.03 2025-05-27 Stable
Kidney beans Dark red BR Brasília 1.45 1.47 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable
Kidney beans Brown eye BR Brasília 1.39 1.41 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable
Kidney beans White GB London 1.38 1.40 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable
German beans Split GB London 0.98 1.00 -0.02 2025-05-23 Weak
Fava Beans Sortex, small GB London 1.19 1.21 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable
Beans dried Split, 12 mm GB London 1.63 1.65 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable
Beans broad Whole 12 mm GB London 1.33 1.35 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable
Alubia beans White BR Brasília 1.39 1.41 -0.02 2025-05-23 Stable

🌍 Supply & Demand

  • UK red kidney bean supplies are dwindling, with new crop arrivals expected in about four months.
  • China is maintaining steady exports, but inventories are tightening, especially for premium and organic varieties.
  • Demand in both domestic and export markets remains stable, with most buyers operating on a spot basis.
  • Some bean varieties are experiencing balanced supply and demand, but the overall market remains tight.

📊 Fundamentals

  • Recent USDA and Chinese agricultural reports indicate a reduction in planted acreage for beans in several major producing regions, supporting current price levels.
  • Global inventories remain below average, especially for high-quality and organic beans.
  • Speculative positioning is neutral, with little evidence of aggressive buying or selling in futures markets.

⛅ Weather Outlook

  • China: Key growing provinces are experiencing normal to slightly below-normal rainfall, with no major weather threats reported for the next two weeks.
  • UK: Weather is expected to remain mild and dry, which is beneficial for the remaining crop but could stress late-planted fields if dryness persists.
  • Brazil: Main bean regions are entering the dry season, with adequate soil moisture currently supporting crop development.

🌐 Production & Stocks

Country 2024/25 Production (est. 1,000 MT) 2024/25 Stocks (est. 1,000 MT) Key Trends
China 1,250 180 Lower acreage, tight stocks
Brazil 1,100 160 Steady output, moderate stocks
UK 130 20 Stocks running low
India 950 110 Stable production, high demand
USA 900 95 Lower stocks vs. last year

📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations

  • Monitor local inventory levels closely; tightness is likely to persist until new crop arrivals.
  • Spot and short-term contracts are preferable due to a stable but firm price outlook.
  • Watch weather developments in China and the UK for any signs of stress that could impact yields.
  • Premiums for organic and speciality beans are likely to widen as supplies tighten further.
  • Importers should consider securing forward contracts for essential varieties.

🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast

Exchange/Location Product Current Price (USD/kg) 3-Day Forecast Trend
Beijing (CN) Mung beans (organic) 1.45 1.44 – 1.46 Stable
Beijing (CN) Kidney beans (large white) 3.32 3.32 – 3.34 Firm
London (GB) Kidney beans (white) 1.38 1.37 – 1.39 Stable
Brasília (BR) Kidney beans (dark red) 1.45 1.44 – 1.46 Stable