Beans Market in Flux: Stable Prices Amid Supply Adjustments and Tepid Demand

The global beans market remains under the sway of shifting domestic and international dynamics as we approach year-end 2025. Recent data from China, one of the world’s largest bean producers and exporters, reflects a market finding balance between supply pressures, cautious demand, and price stabilization. While most Chinese exporters temporarily halted collections this week, internal bean flows have slowed. Many downstream buyers restocked earlier, leading to a tepid pace in market circulation. Domestic bean prices are notably high—especially for sprouting mung beans—resulting in hesitant procurement and reduced order volumes.

Meanwhile, localized decreases in procurement yields nudged some collection costs downward. Yet a significant number of farmers remain reluctant to sell, propping up prices for green mung beans. Imports play a notable role: Uzbekistan’s new-crop mung beans have reached China in good volume, boosting supply. However, high import prices and the seasonal lull in sprouting mung bean demand have weakened processors’ buying interest. Some importers are discounting their stocks to stimulate movement, but previously high procurement costs lend lingering support to prices. Looking ahead, market consensus points to stable or subtly softer prices for both domestic and Uzbek mung beans in the near term, especially as factory margins narrow and import competition lingers.

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📈 Prices: Key Exchange and Cash Market Overview

Product	Origin	Type	Location	Current Price (EUR/MT)	Previous Price (EUR/MT)	Weekly Change	Market Sentiment
Mung beans (organic)	CN	99.5% purity	Beijing	1.65	1.64	+0.01	Stable
Mung beans (3.8 mm up)	CN	99.5% purity	Beijing	1.46	1.45	+0.01	Stable
Kidney beans (small, black, organic)	CN	99.5% purity	Beijing	1.13	1.16	-0.03	Soft
Kidney beans (large, white, organic)	CN	99.5% purity	Beijing	2.72	2.78	-0.06	Soft
Kidney beans (dark red, organic)	CN	99.5% purity	Beijing	1.37	1.39	-0.02	Soft
Adzuki beans (organic)	CN	99.5% purity	Beijing	1.28	1.30	-0.02	Stable

🌍 Supply & Demand: Regional Differentials and Trade Flows

• China: Domestic demand in a lull; most major buyers have ample inventory, slowing procurement tempo.
• Uzbekistan: Fresh arrivals of new-crop mung beans have increased Chinese supply but face limited processor interest due to high prices and seasonal demand low.
• Brazil & UK: Steady movement in kidney and fava beans, with price movements mainly tracking Chinese and global sentiment.
• Farmer behavior: Chinese farmers display a strong reluctance to sell, maintaining price floors despite subdued trade.

📊 Fundamentals: Market Drivers & Outlook

• Most exporters temporarily suspending collections, suggesting short-term tightness (not pressure) on supply.
• Downstream restocking already completed; little new demand means slower turnover.
• High domestic and import costs make processors hesitant to replenish stocks aggressively.
• Uzbek import beans are available but fetch high prices; some importers are discounting unsold inventory for cash flow.
• Fundamental support comes from both high earlier procurement costs and farmers’ strong holding power.
• Factory margins notably compressed, weakening demand for new beans from processors.

🌦️ Weather Outlook: Key Growing Regions

• China (Northeast, Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang): Mild and dry conditions recently support late-harvest quality; long-term weather models show near-average precipitation and temperatures for the coming week—neutral for yield risk in stored beans.
• Uzbekistan: New-crop already shipped; current weather less relevant, but next cycle will depend on 2026 spring weather patterns.
• Brazil: Slightly above-normal rainfall continues in southern and central regions, aiding later-planted beans and supporting healthy crop prospects.

🌏 Global Production & Stocks: Exports and Key Importers

Country	2024/25 Production (est., 000 MT)	2024/25 Exports (est., 000 MT)	2024/25 Stocks (est., 000 MT)	Market Narrative
China	2,400	600	500	Strong producer, slower exports, ample stocks support prices
Uzbekistan	320	220	50	Rising exports to China/East Asia, high prices
Brazil	3,100	1,200	350	Key global exporter, supports global supply
UK	165	60	20	Niche player, minor influence

📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations

• 📊 Buyers: Adopt a wait-and-see approach for domestic Chinese mung beans as prices appear near-term stable with downside risk limited by farmer reluctance to sell.
• 🔻 Sellers: Incremental sales from old inventory may be prudent, especially for Uzbek-origin beans facing short-term price headwinds.
• 📦 Importers: Consider cautious procurement as the seasonal demand trough persists, but potential price dips may create buying opportunities.
• 👀 Watch: Factory margin trends, inventory–to–usage ratios, and any abrupt weather swings in South America and China that could impact future crop prospects.

🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast

Product	Region/Origin	Current Price (EUR/MT)	Forecast Price Range (EUR/MT)	Market Direction
Mung beans (organic)	Beijing (CN)	1.65	1.64 – 1.66	Stable
Mung beans (conventional)	Beijing (CN)	1.46	1.44 – 1.47	Slightly Lower
Kidney beans (small, black, organic)	Beijing (CN)	1.13	1.12 – 1.14	Stable