The cinnamon market presents a stable and profitable outlook for stakeholders as we move into the coming months. Market fundamentals based on current trade sources highlight a resilient balance between demand and supply, setting the stage for prices to remain supported. Unlike volatile agricultural commodities, cinnamon prices are not subjected to excessive downward pressure at this time. Stock levels are reported to be well-managed, with arrivals meeting – but not surpassing – routine demand.
Buyers, including traders, stockists, processors, and exporters, stay active, seeking quality material. Export activities further bolster stability, assuring that domestic availability is not overwhelmed by oversupply. While some market fluctuations have occurred, the prevailing tone is one of firmness. Unless a significant shock emerges, such as a surge in arrivals or a sharp demand drop, market participants anticipate steady to firm pricing. This outlook offers confidence to producers, traders, and end-users as the cinnamon trade retains its attractiveness for those involved.
Exclusive Offers on CMBroker
Ceylon cinnamon
sticks
FOB 7.75 €/kg
(from IN)
Ceylon cinnamon
powder
FOB 7.20 €/kg
(from IN)
Cinnamon
cassias sticks
FOB 7.39 €/kg
(from IN)
📈 Prices
| Product | Origin | Type | Organic | Location | FOB Price (EUR/kg) | Previous Price (EUR/kg) | Update Date | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceylon cinnamon | India | Sticks | Yes | New Delhi | 7.75 | 7.75 | 2026-02-21 | Firm |
| Ceylon cinnamon | India | Powder | Yes | New Delhi | 7.20 | 7.20 | 2026-02-21 | Firm |
| Cassia sticks | India | Sticks | Yes | New Delhi | 7.39 | 7.39 | 2026-02-21 | Firm |
| Cassia split | Vietnam | Split | No | Hanoi | 2.79 | 2.79 | 2026-02-21 | Stable |
| Cassia broken | Vietnam | Broken | No | Hanoi | 2.30 | 2.30 | 2026-02-21 | Stable |
| Cassia cigarette | Vietnam | Cigarette | No | Hanoi | 5.15 | 5.15 | 2026-02-21 | Stable |
| Cassia powder | India | Powder | Yes | New Delhi | 5.05 | 5.05 | 2026-02-21 | Stable |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Supply: Arrivals remain controlled in major mandis; no sign of excess supply or significant stock buildup.
- Demand: Steady buying from traders, processors, and exporters, with regular offtake for quality material.
- Export Demand: Consistent export orders provide added market firmness, reducing the likelihood of price slippage.
📊 Fundamentals
- Stock availability is described as balanced and not excessive – preventing major downside moves.
- No major selling pressure; buyers maintain regular purchases without risk of oversaturation.
- Firm underlying tone due to close match between arrivals and consumption needs.
☁️ Weather & Crop Conditions
- Weather throughout major cinnamon-producing regions has so far not presented risks to immediate arrivals or crop quality.
- Prolonged stable weather will help maintain current supply-consumption equilibrium.
- Market participants should continue monitoring any upcoming weather anomalies that could disrupt harvest or logistics, potentially impacting prices.
🌐 Global Market & Production Snapshot
- Major Exporters: India, Vietnam, Sri Lanka – with firm prices reported particularly for organic and high-quality lots from India.
- Competitive Landscape: Indian and Vietnamese origins dominate export flows, though Ceylon (true) cinnamon enjoys price premiums.
- Stocks: Global inventories remain well-managed, with no glut expected in the short term based on present mandi arrivals and trade channel feedback.
📆 Trading Outlook
- Market is expected to stay steady to firm for 2–4 weeks unless unexpected supply shocks emerge.
- Traders: Maintain existing long positions; avoid aggressive selling in the absence of bearish signals.
- Buyers/Processors: Cover regular needs promptly, as no significant price fall is foreseen. Premium for quality lots likely to persist.
- Exporters: Continue to target stable export markets with competitive offers but be ready for opportunistic buys if localized arrivals increase suddenly.
⏳ 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Product | Location | Current Price (EUR/kg) | 3-Day Price Trend | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceylon cinnamon sticks | New Delhi (IN) | 7.75 | Stable to Firm | Supported by firm buying, no excess arrivals |
| Ceylon cinnamon powder | New Delhi (IN) | 7.20 | Stable | Market well balanced |
| Cassia sticks | New Delhi (IN) | 7.39 | Stable | No downside pressure |
| Cassia split | Hanoi (VN) | 2.79 | Stable | Controlled supply |