Clouds Hover Over Coffee As Rains Bring a Silver Lining and Worry

Clouds Hover Over Coffee As Rains Bring a Silver Lining and Worry

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Karnataka’s planters find themselves in a tempestuous tango with nature. The idyllic landscape, home to lush arabica coffee, has been swept by rains, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the beans. This report unfolds the meteorological dance that impacts the coffee supply chain, which is pertinent for importers worldwide.

Rains- a blessing or bane?

As the heavens weep upon Karnataka’s key coffee-growing regionsโ€”Kodagu, Chikkamagaluru, and Hassanโ€”growers of arabica coffee, renowned for its refined flavor, are bracing for the repercussions. The harvest season arrives, and along with it, the rains are a paradoxical blessing and bane.

Rain-kissed beans would usually mean a bounty, but this year’s rainfall during the harvest season may sow discord among arabica coffee growers. The watery embrace leads to fruit splitting on the plant, a grievous malady, as it causes beans to plunge into the earth. These drenched, split arabica fruits, unable to be pulped into parchment, must undergo an alternative journeyโ€”conversion into cherry. This transition heralds a loss for the growers, as arabica parchment coffee, prized for its quality, typically commands a premium of almost 40-50 percent over cherry coffee.

While the ongoing spell is hurting arabica growers, the rainfall is suitable for robusta variety as it is a kind of winter irrigation and also for the upcoming pepper crop, which is in berry filling stages. The rains provide respite to a region with a rainfall deficit ranging from 30-50 percent this year. However, this momentary relief also bears the weight of uncertainty. Coffee drying, a critical phase in post-harvest processing, stands delayed.

Earlier-than-expected arabica harvest season

Early blossom showers in January ushered in the arabica harvest season, arriving earlier than expected due to the prolonged dry spells during the monsoons and a dearth of adequate yearly rainfall. The repercussions ripple across the plantations, and the impact is most severe on the arabicas. A familiar tale unfolds, with rain-drenched, early-ripened arabica beans splitting on the bushes and tumbling onto the soil. However, for robusta, known for its resilience, the rains bear a different promise.Experts are concerned about the likely crop loss of around 10-15 percent in pockets where the beans have ripened. While the rains’ impact varies across the coffee-growing regions, growers remain vigilant, keeping a wary eye on the meteorological forecasts that portend more rain.

As importers worldwide await the flow of coffee from Karnataka, the state-run Coffee Board’s initial forecast places the 2023-24 coffee crop at 3.74 million tonnes, higher than the previous year’s 3.52 million tonnes. This leaves us with a question mark hanging over the futureโ€”will it be a downpour of success or a tempest of setbacks for the coffee market?

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