Coriander Market Analysis: Range-Bound Prices Amid Weather-Driven Stability

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The coriander market presents a distinctive blend of stability and cautious optimism as we move through the second half of 2025. With uneven rainfall across Rajasthan—the largest producing region—balancing both supply and demand, coriander prices have avoided sharp movements. Recent showers have improved crop conditions, but traders and farmers are showing restraint, with gradual stock releases ensuring that the market remains largely range-bound. In key mandis like Ramganj and Kota, coriander prices have slightly strengthened, an indication of healthy but measured buying interest. Gujarat’s markets are also showing firmness, supported by robust, yet not aggressive, demand from spice processors, retailers, and export channels.

Production forecasts for the 2025–26 season suggest a moderate increase in output, while export activity continues to provide a floor for market prices. The steady nature of Indian coriander exports, especially to Gulf and Southeast Asian markets, further bolsters sentiment. However, with weather remaining a critical factor and speculative activity subdued, the near-term outlook favors stability over volatility. The current year’s price behavior, set against the backdrop of previous seasons, reveals a narrative of resilience, with global market trends and Indian inventory management likely to keep coriander trading in a well-defined price corridor.

📈 Prices at a Glance

Market/Type Location Current Price (USD/100kg) Weekly Change Market Sentiment
Ramganj mandi Rajasthan $81–$82 +2 to +3 Stable, cautious
Kota mandi Rajasthan $80–$82 Unchanged Steady
Gondal mandi Gujarat $85–$86 Unchanged Firm
August Futures NCDEX $81 Moderate buying
September Futures NCDEX $84 Moderate buying
Product Origin Type Purity Organic Price (EUR/kg) Previous Price (EUR/kg) Update Date
Coriander seeds India whole Yes 2.39 2.39 2025-08-02
Coriander seeds India single parrot No 1.13 1.11 2025-08-02
Coriander seeds India 99.9% No 0.90 0.88 2025-08-02
Coriander seeds India powder Yes 2.71 2.69 2025-08-02
Coriander seeds India eagle, split 98% No 0.86 0.84 2025-08-02
Coriander seeds India double parrot No 1.25 1.23 2025-08-02
Coriander seeds Egypt 99.9% No 0.99 0.98 2025-08-02

🌍 Supply & Demand Snapshot

  • India 2025–26 Production: 882,000 metric tons (up from 857,000 MT last season)
  • Estimated Market Value: ~$1.38 billion for 2025–26
  • Exports (2024–25): $137.74 million — average price $1,147.50/ton
  • Demand Drivers: Firm demand from spice processors, active export channel—primarily Gulf and Southeast Asia
  • Stock Release: Farmers selling gradually, keeping market well-supplied but not oversupplied

📊 Market Fundamentals

  • Stock Management: Gradual stock release buffers price swings
  • Speculative Activity: Minimal; traders remain cautious
  • Processor and Retailer Buying: Steady, underlining sectoral confidence
  • Comparative Note: Previous year saw more price volatility with weather extremes and faster stock offloading

⛅ Weather Outlook & Yield Analysis

Recent moderate and uneven rainfall has supported crop development in Rajasthan and Gujarat—the main coriander belts. Follow-up forecasts suggest isolated showers persist over northwestern India, which should continue to underpin healthy crop prospects without encouraging oversupply. Weather extremes, if avoided, bode well for yields and price stability over the coming month.

🌏 Global Production & Export Landscape

  • India: Largest producer and exporter; accounts for almost 70% of global coriander trade
  • Egypt: Competes in Mediterranean and European markets; rising quality and competitive pricing
  • Turkey, Morocco: Niche exporters—smaller volumes but specialty grades
  • Major Importers: UAE, Malaysia, Indonesia, Europe
  • Inventory Positions: India’s disciplined stock management contrasts with high, price-volatile years of the recent past

📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations

  • Range-bound market with mild upward bias amid firm localized demand
  • Gradual stock release prevents panic selling; short-term downside risk is limited
  • Futures indicate moderate buying interest for September—look for pullbacks to build long positions
  • Exporters: Continue to target Gulf and Southeast Asian markets; price competitiveness holds
  • Watch for weather anomalies and sudden export inquiries as key trigger events

🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast

Market Current 3-Day Forecast Confidence
Ramganj mandi (Rajasthan) $81.5 $81–$82 High
Kota mandi (Rajasthan) $81 $80–$82 High
Gondal mandi (Gujarat) $85.5 $85–$86 High
FOB India (whole, organic; EUR/kg) 2.39 2.37–2.41 High
FOB Egypt (99.9%; EUR/kg) 0.99 0.98–1.01 High