The coriander market continues its steady run, showing remarkable price stability amid plentiful arrivals and moderate demand. Over the past two months, prices in India—the primary producer and exporter—have remained anchored between USD 0.78 and USD 0.82 per kilogram, with market experts indicating little to no downside risk in the near term. According to Hemant Jain, seasoned industry observer, daily inflows to Rajasthan markets hover around 8,000–9,000 bags, well matched by consistent but unspectacular demand both domestically and from export channels. This supply-demand equilibrium is reinforced by substantial inventories: a starting carryover stock of 5 million bags this season alongside robust crop outturns in Gujarat (6 million bags), Madhya Pradesh (5 million), and Rajasthan (up to 2 million). While combined daily arrivals exceed 60,000 bags nationwide, only 40,000 get actively traded, suggesting a bullish undertone should any demand uptick emerge. The ongoing balance is, however, fragile—industry sentiment and future price trajectories hinge on carefully watched weather developments, especially the crucial monsoon period, and seed demand for the upcoming sowing season. With a modest upside forecast (+USD 0.06/kg), traders are watching for rain patterns and post-monsoon arrivals to set the next directional move. For now, the coriander market rests at the lower end of its price band, insulated by stocks but poised for a gentle lift if weather or demand surprises materialize.
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📈 Latest Coriander Prices
| Product | Type | Origin | Purity | FOB Price (USD/kg) | Previous Price (USD/kg) | Update Date | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coriander seeds | whole, organic | India | 2.45 | 2.45 | 2025-05-30 | Stable | |
| Coriander seeds | single parrot | India | 1.17 | 1.17 | 2025-05-30 | Stable | |
| Coriander seeds | 99.9% purity | India | 99.9% | 0.90 | 0.90 | 2025-05-30 | Stable |
| Coriander seeds | powder, organic | India | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2025-05-30 | Stable | |
| Coriander seeds | eagle, split | India | 98% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2025-05-30 | Stable |
| Coriander seeds | double parrot | India | 1.27 | 1.27 | 2025-05-30 | Stable | |
| Coriander seeds | Egypt | 99.9% | 0.97 | 0.97 | 2025-05-30 | Stable |
🌍 Supply & Demand Factors
- Daily arrivals: 8,000–9,000 bags in Rajasthan, total ~60,000 bags from Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan each day.
- Trading volume: Only 40,000 bags actively traded per day.
- Carryover stocks: 5 million bags at season start.
- New crop estimates: Gujarat 6M, MP 5M, Rajasthan 1.5–2M bags.
- Current demand: Moderate, no spike in domestic or export demand reported.
- Stock movement: Surplus is being diverted into storage.
- Short-term price outlook: No downside risk; slight upside to USD 0.06/kg expected near term.
📊 Fundamentals & Market Drivers
- Price driver: Steady arrivals and normal trading keep prices within a narrow range.
- Speculation: Limited speculative activity due to balanced supply/demand.
- Key risks: Potential for prices to rise if monsoon is weak or late, affecting seed availability.
- Seed demand: Expected to increase ahead of next sowing season, supporting price floor.
🌦️ Weather Outlook
- Monsoon watch: The upcoming southwest monsoon is projected to be near-normal according to IMD, but any regional delay or deficit in Gujarat, MP, or Rajasthan could tighten supplies rapidly.
- Impacts: Good rains = stable or slightly rising prices; weak rains = risk of sharp upward price moves as stockists hold back.
- Near-term: Weather so far has not triggered supply disruption; close monitoring needed for July–August rains in growing zones.
🌐 Global Production & Stock Comparison
| Country | Production (M bags) | Stock Position |
|---|---|---|
| India | 12.5–13 | Ample, stable |
| Egypt | 1.5–2 | Stable |
| Other (small exporters) | <1 | Unchanged |
📌 Trading Outlook & Key Insights
- 📉 Downside price risk limited by strong stock position and anticipated seed demand surge.
- 📈 Upside potential of ~USD 0.06/kg if monsoon worries or pre-sowing buying emerge.
- 🔍 Monitor monsoon progress and crop update reports for trend changes.
- ⏳ Storage activity increasing; market will react quickly to any supply/demand surprises.
- 💼 Recommendation: Buyers may secure short-term needs but wait on large contracts until monsoon clarity.
📆 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Region | Exchange/Market | Current Price (USD/kg) | 3-Day Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rajasthan (IN) | Local mandis | 0.78–0.82 | Steady to slightly higher (+0.01–0.02) |
| New Delhi (IN) | Export FOB | 0.90–2.75* | Stable |
| Cairo (EG) | Export FOB | 0.97 | Stable |
*Depending on grade/type
