Global Cotton Production Forecast to Rise in 2025/26 as Consumption Recovers

Global Cotton Production Expected to Increase in 2025/26

Global cotton production is projected to rise during the 2025/26 marketing year, supported by higher output in several major producing countries.

Improved weather conditions and expanded planted area in key producing regions are contributing to the expected production growth.

The increase in global supply is expected to support stronger international trade flows in the coming marketing year.

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Cotton Consumption Recovering with Textile Demand

Global cotton consumption is forecast to recover as textile manufacturing activity strengthens.

Improving economic conditions and increased demand for apparel and textile products are expected to boost cotton usage in major consuming countries.

Countries with large textile industries such as China, India, Bangladesh, and Vietnam continue to drive global cotton consumption.

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Global Cotton Trade Expanding

International cotton trade is projected to increase as import demand rises in key textile-producing countries.

Higher imports are expected particularly from Asian textile manufacturers, which depend heavily on imported cotton to support spinning and fabric production.

Export growth from major suppliers such as the United States, Brazil, and Australia is expected to support global cotton trade volumes.

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Cotton Prices Influenced by Supply and Demand Balance

Global cotton prices are expected to remain influenced by the balance between rising production and recovering demand.

While increased supply may create downward pressure, stronger textile demand could provide price support.

Market participants are closely monitoring global economic conditions and textile sector recovery, which will continue to shape cotton price trends.

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🔎 CMB Outlook

The global cotton market is entering a phase of moderate recovery and supply expansion.

Key market drivers include:

• Rising cotton production in major exporting countries

• Recovery in textile manufacturing demand

• Growing cotton imports by Asian textile producers

• Expanding global cotton trade flows

In the coming months, cotton market dynamics will largely depend on textile demand growth and global economic stability.

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📚 News Sources

• USDA Foreign Agricultural Service – Cotton: World Markets and Trade Report 2026