Global Sesame Market: Expansion Ahead Amid Robust Demand, Price Resilience

The global sesame market stands poised for significant growth as we approach 2026, underpinned by a surge in both production and demand, particularly in Asia and Africa. Current projections highlight a dynamic market landscape: world sesame production, maintaining a level of around 6.5–6.7 million tonnes in 2024 and 2025, is set to increase to approximately 6.9–7.1 million tonnes by 2026. Key producer countries like Sudan, Myanmar, Nigeria, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Burkina Faso, and Brazil are all anticipated to expand their output, driven by stable weather and increased acres of cultivation.

On the consumption front, appetite for sesame is intensifying in both traditional strongholds—China, Sudan, India—and in developed markets, where health-conscious consumers are fuelling demand for bakery items, snacks, plant-based oils, and premium food products. Trade flows remain robust, especially from African exporters, with price resilience even amid logistical challenges and geopolitical volatility. Average export prices stood at USD 1,810/tonne in 2025, with further firming expected as high-value applications and sustainability concerns shape future trade.

As you explore the market, understanding evolving production dynamics, shifting global consumption, and the intricacies of pricing will be paramount. The subsequent detailed analysis frames the market’s current status, drivers, and actionable insights for buyers, sellers, and stakeholders.

📈 Prices: Market Snapshot & Recent Trends

Origin	Product Type	Purity	Delivery Terms	Location	Latest Price (EUR/kg)	Previous Price (EUR/kg)	Change	Update Date
Egypt	Natural	99%	FOB	Cairo	1.60	1.57	+0.03	2026-03-06
Egypt	Natural, Golden	99.5%	FOB	Cairo	2.10	2.08	+0.02	2026-03-06
India	Natural	99.95%	FOB	New Delhi	1.15	1.13	+0.02	2026-03-06

Market Sentiment: Generally firm with a positive bias, supported by steady to slightly rising prices across major origins. Exporters in Africa and Asia continue to command premium pricing for high-quality lots, reflecting robust global demand.

🌍 Supply & Demand: Global Dynamics

• Projected production 2026: 6.9–7.1 million tonnes globally, up from 6.5–6.7 million in 2024–2025.
• Major producers: Sudan (1.45 Mt), Myanmar (820,000 t), Nigeria (760,000 t), Tanzania (700,000 t), Ethiopia (650,000 t), Burkina Faso (380,000 t), Brazil (350,000 t).
• Key consumers: China (1.6 Mt), Sudan (1 Mt), India (696,000 t).
• Rising usage in food processing, edible oils, and premium food items is broadening global demand—particularly in North America and Europe.
• African countries remain prominent in export trade, supplying Asian and Western markets.

📊 Fundamentals: Trade, Stocks & Price Drivers

• Export prices (2025 average): USD 1,810/tonne
• Import prices (2025 average): USD 1,870/tonne
• Major importers: Japan, Turkey (for use in tahini, halva, confectionery, and other processed foods)
• Stock levels: Stable to slightly increasing due to better harvests and expanded acreage
• Market drivers: Persistent growth in premium and health-focused foods; demand from plant-based foods and snacking sectors; premium paid for higher purity and traceability
• Risks: Weather, geopolitical tensions, logistics/freight costs, and evolving trade barriers

⛅ Weather Outlook & Impact

• Africa: Favorable weather in Sudan, Nigeria, and Ethiopia supports expectations for increased yields in 2026.
• Asia: Myanmar and India report generally stable weather, reinforcing positive production outlooks.
• Potential risks: Watch for late-summer rainfall anomalies or threats from drought that could affect yield projections, especially in East Africa and Southeast Asia.

🌏 Global Stocks & Production Comparison (2026 Projected)

Country	2026 Production (tonnes)	2024/25 Production (tonnes)
Sudan	1,450,000	Approx. 1,440,000
Myanmar	820,000	815,000
Nigeria	760,000	740,000
Tanzania	700,000	690,000
Ethiopia	650,000	640,000
Burkina Faso	380,000	375,000
Brazil	350,000	345,000

📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations

• Bullish factors: Sustained demand growth, stable to increasing supply, and premium trends in value-added foods.
• Neutral factors: Adequate global stocks, but logistical and climate risks remain.
• Bearish factors: Significant weather disruptions or escalated geopolitical tensions could tighten supply and elevate prices.
• For buyers: Lock in contracts early, especially for higher grades/purities; monitor freight/logistics closely.
• For sellers: Target premium markets; highlight traceability and sustainability credentials to capture premium pricing.
• For traders: Watch for near-term volatility around planting and harvest seasons; maintain a flexible position strategy.

📅 3-Day Regional Price Forecast (Key Origins, EUR/kg)

Region	Product Type	Current Price	1-Day	2-Day	3-Day	Trend
Egypt	Natural, 99%	1.60	1.61	1.61	1.62	Firm/Up
Egypt	Natural, Golden, 99.5%	2.10	2.12	2.12	2.13	Up
India	Natural, 99.95%	1.15	1.16	1.16	1.17	Firm/Up