In a week marked by renewed energy, the guar complex posted strong gains, led by a surge in buying from both industrial consumers and export players. Guar gum and guar seed prices advanced sharply in Indian markets, particularly in Jodhpur and Gujarat, as seasonal demand converged with revived export interest. Earlier, weaker international trends weighed on sentiment, but the emergence of new orders from gum-processing mills and the cattle feed sector quickly reversed this. With global buyers making aggressive inquiries and domestic arrivals tightening, the outlook appears bullish.
The market’s mood was further lifted by limited inventory at key trading centers. Analysts are watching both weather developments in Indian cultivation zones and international offtake trends closely—a combination that may dictate the next price leg up, especially if arrivals remain restricted through the near term. For participants across the supply chain, staying nimble in the face of volatility and demand swings will be crucial in the weeks ahead.
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📈 Prices & Market Sentiment
Product | Location | Current Price | Weekly Change | Sentiment |
---|---|---|---|---|
Guar Gum | Jodhpur (IN) | $62.40–$63.60 per 100 kg | + $1.80 | Firm/Bullish |
Guar Seed | Jodhpur (IN) | $117.60–$119.88 per 100 kg | + $1.80 | Firm/Bullish |
Guar Gum | Gujarat (IN) | $33.00–$34.80 per 100 kg | Stable | Firm |
Guar Seed | Gujarat (IN) | $34.80–$36.00 per 100 kg | Stable | Firm |
Guar Gum (organic, powder) | Hanoi (VN) | €4.09/kg (FOB) | – €0.02 | Soft |
Guar Gum (organic, powder) | New Delhi (IN) | €4.25/kg (FOB) | – €0.02 | Soft |
🌍 Supply & Demand Dynamics
- Stronger industrial demand: Gum-processing mills and the cattle feed sector increased purchases, driving prices higher.
- Limited arrivals: Tightness in arrivals supported firm market conditions and restricted supply kept prices elevated.
- Export momentum: Overseas inquiries strengthened further, ensuring regular pipeline flows for guar gum exporters.
📊 Fundamentals & Market Drivers
- International Market Weakness: Early-week pressure stemmed from weak overseas sentiment, yet this reversed as local buying surged.
- Cattle Feed Demand: Seasonal uptick in demand from the feed industry provided an additional floor for guar seed prices.
- Export Demand: Consistent export buying continues to support guar gum, with reports of fresh inquiries from major international buyers.
- Speculative activity: Participants are monitoring movements, with tight inventory lending support to bullish positioning.
⛅ Weather Outlook for Key Growing Regions
- Rajasthan & Gujarat: Recent monsoon activity has been near normal, but isolated showers are forecast for the next 3 days. This is expected to support crop development, though excess rain may risk localised crop stress.
- Temperature Forecast: Daytime highs to hover in the low 30s Celsius, supporting both seeding and early growth stages.
- Impact: Weather conditions are generally favourable and are not expected to negatively affect crop prospects in the short term. However, ongoing monitoring is essential.
📦 Production & Stock Comparisons
Country | 2023/24 Production (est.) | 2023/24 Ending Stocks (est.) | Notes |
---|---|---|---|
India | ~1.38 million MT | Low | ~80% of global output; inventory tight |
Pakistan | ~0.15 million MT | Low-Mod. | Dependent on Indian pipeline |
Other (Global) | Nominal | Negligible | Minor share, little global impact |
📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Maintain bullish bias on both guar seed and gum, particularly with limited arrivals and export demand strong.
- Watch for any changes in monsoon patterns or international buyer activity for key price direction signals.
- Exporters: Position for potential further gains if pipeline inquiries remain strong.
- Industrial users: Consider covering requirements ahead of further tightness in spot arrivals.
- Monitor speculative moves closely, as reduced stocks could amplify volatility on both sides.
🗓️ 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
Location | Product | Forecast Price Range | Trend |
---|---|---|---|
Jodhpur (IN) | Guar Gum | $63.20–$64.00 per 100 kg | Bullish |
Jodhpur (IN) | Guar Seed | $119.80–$121.40 per 100 kg | Bullish |
Gujarat (IN) | Guar Gum | $34.00–$35.00 per 100 kg | Firm |
Gujarat (IN) | Guar Seed | $36.00–$37.00 per 100 kg | Firm |
New Delhi (IN, FOB) | Guar Gum (organic) | €4.20–€4.28/kg | Soft/Firm |