During the past week, the Guar seeds market has shown remarkable firmness, driven by a resurgence in demand from both stockists and processors. In Jodhpur, a principal trading center, prices advanced to USD 65–66 per quintal, up from earlier levels of USD 63–64 per quintal. This uptick underscores the market’s resilience, supported by continuous buying activity and a balanced flow of arrivals. Unlike previous weeks characterized by vulnerability to downside volatility, current conditions demonstrate a healthy alignment between supply and demand. Market insiders indicate that the absence of overwhelming supply pressure and the underlying demand from processors—coupled with selective export inquiries—have significantly reduced the risk of a sharp price drop in the immediate term. Based on market sentiment and arrival patterns, participants anticipate that unless there is a marked increase in fresh supply, Guar seed prices are likely to remain steady and firm, maintaining a narrow trading range over the coming days. This strengthens the case for cautious optimism among stakeholders, especially for those positioned on the supply side.
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📈 Latest Guar Seed & Derivative Prices
| Product | Origin | Location | Delivery | Latest Price (EUR/kg) | Weekly Change | Update Date | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guar Seed (Spot, Jodhpur) | IN | Jodhpur | Domestic | Approx. 0.78–0.80 | +3.1% | Current Week | Firm/Bullish |
| Guar gum (Powder) | VN | Hanoi | FOB | 4.04 | -0.04 | 2026-02-21 | Steady |
| Guar gum (Powder) | IN | New Delhi | FOB | 4.10 | -0.05 | 2026-02-21 | Steady |
🌍 Supply & Demand Dynamics
- Supply: Supply pressure is currently moderate to low, with market arrivals well-aligned to ongoing demand. No major influx of new crop has been observed, signaling limited downside risk in prices.
- Demand: Domestic processors provide the bulk of demand impetus. Export inquiries are selective but persistent, contributing to market stability.
- Stockist Activity: Increased buying by stockists and processors is a key factor in preventing further price declines.
- Export Outlook: Stable, with subdued but consistent inquiries lending additional support to baseline demand.
📊 Market Fundamentals & Drivers
- Market Balance: The inter-play of steady demand and manageable supply underpins current market resilience.
- Arrivals: No sudden surge in incoming stocks reported, maintaining price stability.
- Processor Support: Regular procurement by processors sustains underlying support.
- Speculation: Minimal speculative activity observed, reinforcing a fundamental-driven price environment.
⛅ Weather Outlook for Key Regions
- Jodhpur Region: Current weather conditions remain favorable for the standing crop and post-harvest logistics.
- Monsoon Trend: No significant weather disruptions expected short-term; average rainfall levels are projected to support regular movement of goods. (Source: latest public weather data)
- Price Impact: Stable weather should support steady arrivals, limiting the risk of supply shocks.
🌐 Global Production & Stocks Comparison
- India: Remains the dominant global producer and exporter of Guar seeds and derivatives like guar gum.
- Vietnam: Specialty market for processed guar products; offers stable derivative prices as shown in the table above.
- World Inventory: Global stocks remain balanced, with little pressure from either the supply or demand side globally.
📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Given the balanced arrivals and strong processor demand, prices are expected to remain firm to stable in the short term.
- Buyers should consider procuring during periods of price stability, especially as significant downside appears limited.
- Sellers are advised to monitor for any unexpected surges in arrivals which could pressure prices, but current signals remain benign.
- Exporters can capitalize on steady overseas inquiries, but rapid price changes are unlikely without a fundamental shift.
🔮 3-Day Regional Guar Seed Price Forecast
| Region/Exchange | Forecast Price Range (USD/quintal) | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| Jodhpur (Spot) | 65–67 | Stable to Firm |
| IN (FOB, Guar Gum Powder) | 4.08–4.15 EUR/kg | Steady |
| VN (FOB, Guar Gum Powder) | 4.02–4.08 EUR/kg | Steady |
