The global onion market has demonstrated impressive resilience over the past month, navigating the traditional surge in demand brought by the Shravan festival season without a significant price escalation. Despite this period—which typically acts as a catalyst for upward trends in the onion market—wholesale prices have remained firmly within a tight $3.10–$3.20 per 20 kg range. Stability in supply, especially across key Indian mandis such as Lasalgaon, Nashik, and Pimpalgaon, has kept a lid on bullish movements. Market arrivals have consistently hovered around 3,500–4,000 quintals per day, supporting this price steadiness.
Traders in major markets report no substantial weather disruptions or notable drawdowns in stockpiles, indicating that market nervousness is low. Average prices at leading centers like Lasalgaon (hovering at $3.12) and Nashik (average $3.25, best quality up to $3.40) reflect balanced fundamentals and an absence of panic buying. Further supporting stability, exporters and processors are maintaining cautious positioning as they await clearer signals on supply elasticity from the next crop cycle or any unexpected adverse weather events. With ongoing consistent arrivals and moderate weather forecasts, current indicators suggest that the onion market will remain range-bound through the immediate future.
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📈 Prices
| Market / Product | Latest Price (USD per 20 kg) | Weekly Change | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lasalgaon | $3.12 | Unchanged | Stable |
| Lasalgaon (Top Quality) | $3.30 | Unchanged | Firm |
| Pimpalgaon | $3.11–$3.28 | Stable | Consolidating |
| Nashik | $3.25 | Unchanged | Steady |
| Nashik (Top Quality) | $3.40 | Unchanged | Strong |
| Product | Origin | Price (EUR/kg) | Update Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Onions fried (crispy) | Poland | 3.42 | 2025-07-29 |
| Onion powder (B grade) | India | 1.32 | 2025-07-26 |
| Onion powder (white) | India | 1.59 | 2025-07-26 |
| Onion powder (organic) | India | 2.67 | 2025-07-26 |
| Onion flakes (organic) | India | 5.14 | 2025-07-26 |
| Fresh onion | Egypt | 0.80 | 2025-07-26 |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Supply Stability: Daily arrivals in Lasalgaon, Nashik, and Pimpalgaon between 3,400 and 4,000 quintals support steady market flows.
- Demand Trends: Festive season (Shravan) usually drives demand, but impact limited this year due to high supply consistency.
- Global Supply: India remains the leading exporter; no major disruptions reported from principal growing regions in India or Egypt.
- Speculative Activity: Minimal, with traders adopting wait-and-see approaches as no price breakout is evident.
📊 Fundamentals
- Inventories: Comfortable across wholesale markets; no urgent stockpiling reported.
- Crop Acreage: New plantings in Maharashtra and Gujarat remain in line with last year, suggesting no sudden supply shocks ahead.
- Export Pipeline: Indian export levels remain average as global buyers look for lower prices.
- Previous Market Comparison: Prices and trading volumes almost unchanged compared to last market cycle, with supply-side strength exerting downward pressure on volatility.
⛅ Weather Outlook
- India (Maharashtra/Nashik): Monsoon conditions normal; no forecasted heavy rainfall or drought for next two weeks. Moderate showers may aid upcoming crop growth without harvesting disruptions.
- Egypt: Summer weather remains stable, supporting export-quality onion harvests.
- Impact: Absence of adverse weather ensures unbroken supply, limiting risk for price spikes.
🌍 Production & Stock Comparison
| Country | 2023 Production (million tonnes) | 2023 Stocks (est.) | Key Export Destinations |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | 28.4 | High | Middle East, Sri Lanka, Malaysia |
| Egypt | 2.7 | Moderate | Europe, Russia, Gulf States |
| China | 23.7 | High | Asia, Europe |
💡 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Expect prices to remain range-bound ($3.10–$3.25/20kg) for the next week barring unexpected weather.
- Buyers may consider short-term procurement for festival-related demand without risk of major price escalation.
- Exporters should monitor both Indian and Egyptian weather patterns for signs of late-season volatility.
- Monitor spot arrivals in leading mandis for early signals of trend reversal.
- Processors and importers to continue with regular purchases; no need for urgent inventory buildup.
📆 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Market | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lasalgaon (USD/20kg) | $3.12 | $3.11 – $3.13 | $3.10 – $3.15 |
| Nashik (USD/20kg) | $3.25 | $3.23 – $3.27 | $3.22 – $3.30 |
| Pimpalgaon (USD/20kg) | $3.14 | $3.11 – $3.16 | $3.10 – $3.18 |