Potato Market Stays Strong: Rising Arrivals Meet Firm Demand Amid Seasonal Flows

The potato market continues to exhibit notable resilience, with a combination of increased arrivals and robust demand shaping current price dynamics. Today, the Azadpur market witnessed a significant uptick in potato supply, with over one and a half truckloads adding to the available inventory. However, despite this higher volume, retail demand remained solid, preventing any downward pressure on prices. This interplay between supply and demand reflects both the seasonal influences and consistent consumer interest in potatoes, which continues to anchor prices at steady levels. Market participants also note that firmness is not unique to potatoes; a range of fruits and vegetables—such as tomatoes, green beans, okra, and bitter gourd—are all trading at stable to higher prices, attributed to generally bullish sentiment across the segment. Even with the extra potatoes available in the evening hours, buyer interest proved strong enough to absorb the additional volume, pointing to a supply-demand equilibrium that favors price stability in the near term.

Traders report that sector-wide bullishness is derived primarily from mismatches in supply and demand, with several items showing limited or variable availability. The prevailing market sentiment remains positive, supported by a combination of steady retail and wholesale buying patterns and modest but consistent growth in end-user demand. This favorable scenario for potatoes is expected to continue as long as these market fundamentals remain unchanged.

📈 Prices

Product	Origin	Location	Delivery Terms	Latest Price	Previous Price	Weekly Change	Currency	Sentiment
Potato starch	PL	Lodz, PL	FCA	1.02	1.02	0%	EUR/kg	Stable/Firm

🌍 Supply & Demand Update

• Arrivals: Potato arrivals at Azadpur market have increased notably, with over 1.5 truckloads added.
• Demand: Retail demand remains strong and is absorbing increased supply, preventing price declines.
• Seasonal Factors: Both retail and wholesale markets are experiencing robust buying due to seasonal changes.
• Overall Market Sentiment: Traders indicate a bullish trend, with supply-demand mismatches supporting prices across fruits and vegetables.

📊 Fundamentals

• Comparative Product Trends: Stable or rising prices observed in tomatoes, green beans, okra, bottle gourd, and cucumbers, indicating sector-wide support for firm pricing.
• Potato Price Behavior: Despite increased evening availability, strong buyer interest kept prices firm.
• International Price Context: Potato starch in Poland remains stable at 1.02 EUR/kg FCA Lodz, unchanged from last week.

🌤️ Weather Outlook

• North India: Current monsoon patterns are bringing sporadic rainfall, reducing heat stress on crops. However, isolated heavy showers could disrupt local logistics and short-term distribution.
• Poland (Key origin for potato starch): Stable temperatures and moderate rainfall forecast for this week. Ideal growing conditions, supporting yield quality and timely harvests.
• Potential Impact: Continued favorable weather in Poland underpins steady supply for processed potato products. In India, periodic rains support cultivation but may cause temporary market volatility if transport disruptions occur.

🏭 Global Production & Stocks

Country	2023/24 Production (kt)	Ending Stocks (kt)	Market Status
China	99,000	10,500	Steady
India	54,200	6,400	Firm
Russia	21,300	1,800	Stable
EU (Poland)	11,000	1,200	Steady/Firm
USA	19,800	1,850	Stable

• Global production remains steady, with India and China driving volumes due to favorable growing conditions.
• EU stocks are healthy but closely monitored due to pockets of weather volatility.

📆 Outlook & Trading Advice

• Prices are expected to remain firm, supported by strong consumer demand and stable international quotes for processed products.
• Traders should monitor short-term spikes in arrivals; however, strong retail interest will likely absorb excess supply quickly.
• Procurement is recommended for end-users ahead of potential logistics disruptions during ongoing monsoon activity in India.
• Exporters from Poland and other EU origins should capitalize on price stability, with contracts locking in current rates to avoid future volatility.
• Monitor upcoming local and USDA crop acreage updates for actionable signals on medium-term supply changes.

🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast

Region/Exchange	Current Price (EUR/kg)	Day 1	Day 2	Day 3	Sentiment
Azadpur (Delhi, Spot)	–	Steady	Steady-Firm	Firm	Bullish
Lodz, Poland (Starch FCA)	1.02	1.02	1.02	1.03	Stable/Bullish

• Indian spot prices likely to see firming late in the week, given persistent demand.
• EU starch prices expected to remain at 1.02 EUR/kg with possible slight uptick to 1.03 EUR/kg if export interest rises.