🌻 Sunflower Market Surge: Analyzing the Impact of Turkey’s Import Boom and Global Price Trends 🌻

📈 Market Overview: Sunflower Commodity Insights

The sunflower market has witnessed significant fluctuations, particularly highlighted by Turkey’s increased import activity in Q1 2025. Turkey’s imports of sunflower seeds soared by 4.3 times compared to the previous year, reaching a record 396 thousand tons, primarily from Romania and Moldova. This surge is attributed to a domestic shortage, pushing the demand for imports from neighboring countries.

Simultaneously, sunflower oil imports stood at 308 thousand tons, with the majority sourced from Russia and Ukraine. Despite robust domestic demand, Turkey’s sunflower oil exports remained stable at 186,000 tons, with key markets in Ethiopia, Libya, Sudan, Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and EU countries.

The current pricing for sunflower seeds and kernels across various origins shows a stable market with slight regional variations. For instance, prices in Germany for black sunflower seeds are at €0.45 per kg, while hulled bakery sunflower kernels in Berlin are priced at €1.06 per kg.

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📊 Current Prices and Trends

Product	Price (€/kg)	Previous Price (€/kg)	Location
Black Sunflower Seeds	0.45	0.45	Rheinfelden Herten, DE
Striped Sunflower Seeds	0.53	0.53	Sofia, BG
Hulled Bakery Sunflower Kernels	1.06	1.06	Berlin, DE

📌 Key Market Drivers

• Significant increase in Turkey’s import volumes due to domestic shortages.
• Stable export levels despite increased domestic consumption.
• Geopolitical factors and trade policies influencing the flow from Russia and Ukraine.

⛅ Weather Outlook – Key Growing Regions

The weather forecast for major sunflower growing regions such as Ukraine and Russia shows mild temperatures and adequate rainfall, which are expected to support the ongoing planting season and may positively impact the yield forecasts.

🔮 Price Forecast – Next 3 Days

Date	Expected Price Range (€/kg)
2025-05-06	0.44 – 0.46
2025-05-07	0.43 – 0.47
2025-05-08	0.42 – 0.48

📌 Conclusion & Strategic Recommendations

• Buyers: Monitor the market closely for price dips as a result of fluctuating import demands and weather conditions.
• Sellers: Leverage the stable export demand to optimize pricing strategies.
• Traders: Keep an eye on geopolitical developments and their potential impact on trade routes and pricing.